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#' Generate operating characteristics for Bayesian two-stage trial design
#' of ordinal endpoints with proportional odds assumption
#'
#' @description
#' Obtain operating characteristics (OC) of the Bayesian two-stage trial
#' design of ordinal endpoints with proportional odds assumption.
#'
#' @param alpha the desirable type I error rate to be controlled
#' @param pro_ctr distribution of clinical categories for the
#' control group
#' @param nmax the maximum sample size for operating characteristics
#' @param fixed_es fixed effect size when simulate the OC for various sample
#' size
#' @param ormax the maximum effect size for OC
#' @param fixed_ss fixed sample size when simulate the OC for various effect
#' size
#' @param ntrial the number of simulated trials
#' @param method whether the statistical test for interim/final analysis is Bayesian or
#' Frequentist. method = "Frequentist" for Frequentist approach; method = "Bayesian"
#' for Bayesian approach
#'
#'
#' @details
#' Grid search of sample size is used for guarantee a desirable type I error rate.
#' The upper limitation is 200, and lower limitation default is sample size 50
#' for the control and treatment groups at each stage. Default increment of the
#' sequence is 10.
#'
#' For the parameter estimation section, we have two options, and can be selected using
#' the method argument.Two following options are available: (i) method = "Frequentist",
#' (ii) method = "Bayesian". If method = "Frequentist", parameters are estimated via package
#' ordinal, which is based on frequentist method, while method = "Bayesian", parameters are
#' estimated through Bayesian model.
#'
#' Two types of operating characteristics can be implemented through this function.
#'
#' Please note, in our example, argument ntrial = 5 is for the time saving purpose.
#'
#' @return get_oc_PO() returns the operating characteristics of design as a
#' table, including: (1) user-defined value, either sample size or effect size
#' (2) corresponding power (3) average sample size
#' @export
#'
#'
#' @examples
#'
#' get_oc_PO(alpha = 0.05, pro_ctr = c(0.58,0.05,0.17,0.03,0.04,0.13),
#' ormax = 1.5, fixed_ss = 150,
#' ntrial = 5, method = "Frequentist")
#'
#'
#' get_oc_PO(alpha = 0.05, pro_ctr = c(0.58,0.05,0.17,0.03,0.04,0.13),
#' nmax = 200, fixed_es = 1.5,
#' ntrial = 5, method = "Frequentist")
#'
get_oc_PO = function(alpha, pro_ctr, nmax, fixed_es, ormax, fixed_ss,
ntrial, method){
N = 200
if (missing(nmax))
nmax = NULL
if (missing(ormax))
ormax = NULL
if (missing(fixed_es))
fixed_es = NULL
if (missing(fixed_ss))
fixed_ss = NULL
if (is.numeric(nmax) & is.numeric(ormax)) {
stop("namx and ormax can not be specified at the same time.")
}
if (is.numeric(fixed_es) & is.numeric(fixed_ss)) {
stop("fixed_es and fixed_ss can not be specified at the same time.")
}
output = c()
# search cutoff points
cf_grid = 0.2#seq(0.6, 0.7, by=0.1)
threshold_grid = seq(0.99, 0.999, by=0.001)
log_or = rnorm(ntrial, log(1), sd = 0.2)
or = exp(log_or)
or.mat = matrix(rep(or, each = length(pro_ctr)-1,
times=1), ncol = length(pro_ctr)-1, byrow = TRUE)
for (cf in cf_grid){
for (threshold in threshold_grid){
out = multiple_trial_po(sim_runs = ntrial, or.mat, pro_ctr = pro_ctr, n = N,
cf = cf, threshold = threshold, method = method)
rr = c(cf, threshold, out)
output = rbind(output, rr)
colnames(output) = c("cf", "threshold", "PET(%)", "alpha", "Avg SS")
results = as.data.frame(output)
}
index = min(which(abs(results$alpha-alpha)==min(abs(results$alpha-alpha))))
vec = c(results[index,c(1,2,4)])
}
thrsh = c(vec$cf, vec$threshold)
names(thrsh) = c("futility", "superiority")
output = c()
if (is.numeric(fixed_es) & is.numeric(nmax)){
log_or = rnorm(ntrial, log(fixed_es), sd = 0.2)
or = exp(log_or)
or.mat = matrix(rep(or, each = length(pro_ctr)-1, times=1),
ncol = length(pro_ctr)-1, byrow = TRUE)
n_grid = seq(50, nmax, by = 50)
for (n in n_grid){
out = multiple_trial_po(sim_runs = ntrial, or.mat, pro_ctr = pro_ctr, n,
cf = vec$cf, threshold = vec$threshold,
method = method)
rr = c(2*n, out)
output = rbind(output, rr)
colnames(output) = c("Sample Size", "PET(%)", "Power(%)", "Avg SS")
}
}else if (is.numeric(fixed_ss)&is.numeric(ormax)){
or_seq = seq(1, ormax, by = 0.5)
for (i in 1:length(or_seq)){
or = or_seq[i]
log_or = rnorm(ntrial, log(or), sd = 0.2)
or.mat = matrix(rep(exp(log_or), each = length(pro_ctr)-1, times = 1),
ncol = length(pro_ctr)-1, byrow = TRUE)
prob = multiple_trial_po(sim_runs = ntrial, or.mat, pro_ctr = pro_ctr, n = fixed_ss,
cf = vec$cf, threshold = vec$threshold,
method = method)
rr = c(or, prob)
output = rbind(output, rr)
colnames(output) = c("Effect Size", "PET(%)", "Power(%)", "Avg SS")
}
}
output[,3] = output[,3]*100
rownames(output) = paste0("Scenario ", 1:dim(output)[1])
results = list()
results$design = output
results$threshold = thrsh
results$typeIerror = round(vec$alpha,digits = 3)
return(results)
}
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