inst/rf/det.md

In ICI3D/ici3d-pkg: Materials for the International Clinics on Infectious Disease Dynamics and Data (ICI3D) Workshops

Deterministic Reed-Frost Model

For the deterministic model, we assume that the average event occurs on each time step. What is the average event? The Reed-Frost model is a series of binomial random draws, so for each time step, the average number of "successes" is the number of trials and probability of success per trial.

What do "trials" and "probability of success" correspond to in the Reed-Frost model?

Using the inputs below for population size, N, and probability of transmission, p, explore the consequences of the rules of this model world. Think about the following questions:

• how does the duration of the outbreak scale with changes to N and p?
• how does the final size of the outbreak scale with changes to N and p?

ICI3D/ici3d-pkg documentation built on July 2, 2023, 1:59 p.m.