vignettes/westBrook/fitBktLengthAllRivers.R
In evanchildress/perform:
library(perform)
reconnect()
sp<-"bkt"
priors<-list(bkt=list(tOptMean=0,#14.2,
tOptPrecision=0.0001,
ctMaxMean=25,#23.4,
ctMaxPrecision=0.0001,
ctUltimate=26),#25.3),
bnt=list(tOptMean=0,#15.95,
tOptPrecision=0.0001,
ctMaxMean=25,#22.5,
ctMaxPrecision=0.0001,
ctUltimate=40)#28)
)
core<-createCoreData("electrofishing",columnsToAdd="observedWeight") %>%
# data.table() %>%
# .[,n:=.N,by=tag] %>%
# .[n>1] %>%
# .[,n:=NULL] %>%
# data.frame() %>%
addTagProperties() %>%
filter(species==sp) %>%
createCmrData() %>%
addKnownZ() %>%
#filter(knownZ==1) %>%
fillSizeLocation(size=F) %>%
addSampleProperties() %>%
addEnvironmental(funName="mean") %>%
rename(medianFlow=meanFlow)%>%
select(-meanTemperature,-lagDetectionDate) %>%
data.table() #%>%
# .[,diffSample:=c(NA,diff(sampleIndex)),by=tag]
getFirstLength<-function(riv,age,sampName){
core[river==riv&ageInSamples %in% age&sampleName %in% sampName,mean(observedLength,na.rm=T),
by=.(ageInSamples,sampleName)]$V1
}
core[,firstLength:=min(detectionDate[!is.na(observedLength)]),by=tag] %>%
.[detectionDate<firstLength&enc==1,observedLength:=getFirstLength(river,ageInSamples,sampleName),by=tag] %>%
.[,firstLength:=NULL]
if(sp=="bnt"){
core[tag=="257c59a7cc"&observedLength==258,observedLength:=NA]
core[tag=="1c2c582218"&observedLength==240,observedLength:=NA]
core[tag=="00088d22ae"&observedLength==70,observedLength:=NA]
core[tag=="257c59b698"&observedLength==117,observedLength:=NA]
core[tag=="1bf0fec1d7"&observedLength==66,observedLength:=NA]
}
if(sp=="bkt"){
core[tag=="257c67ca48"&observedLength==224,observedLength:=NA]
}
# movers<-unique(core[diffSample>1,tag])
# for(t in movers){
# core[tag==t&
# sampleIndex %in%
# sampleIndex[min(which(diffSample>1)):length(sampleIndex)],
# observedLength:=NA]
# }
# core[,diffSample:=NULL]
# core<-core[,nMeasures:=sum(!is.na(observedLength)),by=tag] %>%
# .[nMeasures>1] %>%
# .[,nMeasures:=NULL] %>%
# .[,lastObs:=detectionDate==max(detectionDate),by=tag] %>%
# .[!lastObs|!is.na(observedLength)] %>%
# .[,lastObs:=NULL] %>%
# .[,firstDate:=min(detectionDate[!is.na(observedLength)]),tag] %>%
# .[detectionDate>=firstDate] %>%
# .[,firstDate:=NULL]
core[,tagIndex:=match(tag,unique(tag))] %>%
setkey(river,year,season)
#
bktBiomass<-readRDS("vignettes/westBrook/bktBiomass.rds")
bntBiomass<-readRDS("vignettes/westBrook/bntBiomass.rds")
core<-bktBiomass[core] %>%
bntBiomass[.] %>%
setkey(tag,detectionDate)
core[is.na(bntBiomass)&river=="wb mitchell",bntBiomass:=0]
core[river=="wb obear",bntBiomass:=0]
jagsData<-createJagsData(data.frame(core) %>%
addEnvironmental()) #%>%
# .[c("firstObsRows",
# "nFirstObsRows",
# "evalRows",
# "nEvalRows",
# "nAllRows",
# "lengthDATA",
# "ind",
# "season")]
# core<-core[,.(tag,tagIndex,detectionDate,observedLength,
# bktBiomass,bntBiomass,medianFlow)]
t<-temp %>%
.[,date:=as.Date(datetime)]%>%
.[datetime>=min(core$detectionDate)&datetime<=max(core$detectionDate)] %>%
.[,.(temperature=mean(temperature)),by=.(river,datetime)] %>%
setkey(river,datetime) %>%
melt(id.vars=c("river","datetime")) %>%
dcast(datetime~river)
core[,':='(time=which.min(abs(t$datetime-detectionDate))),
by=.(tag,detectionDate)]
tempDATA<-t[,2:5]
jagsData$tempDATA<-tempDATA
jagsData$nTimes<-nrow(tempDATA)
jagsData$time<-core$time
jagsData$nInd<-max(core$tagIndex)
jagsData$bktBiomassDATA<-scale(core$bktBiomass)[,1]
jagsData$bntBiomassDATA<-scale(core$bntBiomass)[,1]
jagsData$biomassDATA<-scale(core[[paste0(sp,"Biomass")]])[,1]
jagsData$flowDATA<-scale(core$medianFlow)[,1]
jagsData$tOptMean<-priors[[sp]][["tOptMean"]]
jagsData$tOptPrecision<-priors[[sp]][["tOptPrecision"]]
jagsData$ctMaxMean<-priors[[sp]][["ctMaxMean"]]
jagsData$ctMaxPrecision<-priors[[sp]][["ctMaxPrecision"]]
jagsData$ctUltimate<-priors[[sp]][["ctUltimate"]]
jagsData$meanFlow<-mean(core$medianFlow,na.rm=T)
jagsData$sdFlow<-sd(core$medianFlow,na.rm=T)
jagsData$meanBktBiomass<-mean(core$bktBiomass,na.rm=T)
jagsData$sdBktBiomass<-sd(core$bktBiomass,na.rm=T)
jagsData$meanBntBiomass<-mean(core$bntBiomass,na.rm=T)
jagsData$sdBntBiomass<-sd(core$bntBiomass,na.rm=T)
# if(r=="wb mitchell"){
# badStarts<-as.POSIXct("2007-08-02 19:00:00","2013-05-01 00:00:00")
# badEnds<-as.POSIXct("2007-08-04 00:00:00","2013-10-01 00:00:00")
# for(b in 1:length(badStarts)){
# st<-which(t$datetime==badStarts[b])
# en<-which(t$datetime==badEnds[b])
# jagsData$evalRows<-jagsData$evalRows[
# (jagsData$time[jagsData$evalRows]&jagsData$time[jagsData$evalRows-1]<st)|
# (jagsData$time[jagsData$evalRows]&jagsData$time[jagsData$evalRows-1]>en)]
# }
# jagsData$nEvalRows<-length(jagsData$evalRows)
# }
core[,nObs:=length(na.omit(observedLength)),by=tag]
core[nObs>1,lengthInit:=approx(observedLength,n=length(observedLength))$y,by=tag]
core[,nObs:=NULL]
core[!is.na(observedLength),lengthInit:=NA]
inits<-function(){list(lengthData=core$lengthInit,
ctMax=rep(20,4),
tOpt=rep(10,4),
beta1=rep(0.015,4),
beta2=rep(-6e-05,4),
eps=rep(0.003,4))
}
parsToMonitor<-c("beta1","beta2","beta3","beta4","beta5",
"tOpt",'ctMax',"sigma","ranMonth","sigmaMonth",
'eps',"sigmaInd","lengthExp","b")
out<-fitModel(jagsData=jagsData,inits=inits,parallel=T,params=parsToMonitor,
nb=5000,ni=7000,nt=1,modelFile="modelLengthFieldAllRivers.R",codaOnly="lengthExp")
saveRDS(out,file=paste0("vignettes/westBrook/results/out",sp,".rds"))
core[,firstObs:=detectionDate==min(detectionDate),by=tag]
core[firstObs=="FALSE",predictedLength:=apply(out$sims.list$lengthExp,2,mean)]
saveRDS(core,file=paste0("vignettes/westBrook/results/core",sp,".rds"))
print(out)
# core[jagsData$evalRows,predictedLength:=apply(out$sims.list$lengthExp,2,mean)]
# core[,residual:=observedLength-predictedLength]
#
# for(r in c("wb jimmy","wb mitchell","wb obear","west brook")){
# for(sp in c("bkt")){
# if(sp=="bnt"&r=="wb obear") next
#
# out<-get(paste0("out",sp,which(r==rivers)))
# plot(NA,xlim=c(0,22),ylim=c(-1,1),main=paste(r,sp),xlab="temp",ylab="performance")
# for(i in sample(1:length(out$sims.list$tOpt),300,replace=T)){
# points(predictPerformance(0:22,tOpt=out$sims.list$tOpt[i],
# sigma=out$sims.list$sigma[i],
# ctMax=out$sims.list$ctMax[i])~I(0:22),
# type='l',col='gray')
# }
#
# core<-get(paste0("core",sp,which(r==rivers)))
# core$dummy<-1
# core[,firstObs:=detectionDate==min(detectionDate),by=tag] %>%
# .[firstObs==F,predictedLength:=apply(out$sims.list$lengthExp,2,mean)]
#
# assign(paste0("gr",sp,which(r==rivers)),
# core[,.(obsGrowth=diff(observedLength),
# predGrowth=predictedLength[2:length(observedLength)]-
# observedLength[1:(length(observedLength)-1)],
# date=detectionDate[2:length(detectionDate)]),
# by=tag] %>%
# .[,residual:=obsGrowth-predGrowth])
# assign(paste0("core",sp,which(r==rivers)),core)
#
# plot(predictedLength~observedLength,data=get(paste0("core",sp,which(r==rivers))))
# a<-lm(predictedLength~observedLength,get(paste0("core",sp,which(r==rivers))))
# text(75,150,bquote(R^2==.(round(summary(a)$r.squared,2))))
#
# plot(obsGrowth~predGrowth,data=get(paste0("gr",sp,which(r==rivers))),pch=19,col=gray(0.45,0.5))
# a<-lm(obsGrowth~predGrowth,get(paste0("gr",sp,which(r==rivers))))
# abline(a)
# abline(0,1,lty=2)
# text(5,15,bquote(R^2==.(round(summary(a)$r.squared,2))),col='black')
#
#
# # plot(mmPerDay~startLength,data=get(paste0("gr",which(r==rivers))),
# # col=gray(0.5,0.5),pch=19,main=r,xlab="startLength",ylab="growth (mm/day)")
# # x<-seq(60,300)
# # for(i in sample(1:length(out$sims.list$tOpt),300,replace=T)){
# # points(predictVonBert(x,
# # out$sims.list$beta[i,1],
# # out$sims.list$beta[i,2],
# # derivative=T)*24~x,
# # type='l',col='blue')
# # }
# #
# #
# #
# # predicted<-apply(out$sims.list$length,2,mean)
# # plot(predicted~get(paste0("gr",which(r==rivers)))$growth,main=r,
# # ylab="predicted growth",xlab="observed growth")
# # abline(0,1)
# }
# }
#
# ###code to estimate bias and mse
# bktSummary<-corebkt4[!is.na(predictedLength)&!is.na(observedLength),
# .(rmse=sqrt(sum(((observedLength-predictedLength))^2)/.N),
# relativeBias=sum((observedLength-predictedLength)/observedLength)/.N)]
# bntSummary<-corebnt4[!is.na(predictedLength)&!is.na(observedLength),
# .(rmse=sqrt(sum(((observedLength-predictedLength))^2)/.N),
# relativeBias=sum((observedLength-predictedLength)/observedLength)/.N)]
# bktGrowthSummary<-grbkt4[!is.na(predGrowth)&!is.na(obsGrowth),
# .(rmse=sqrt(sum(((obsGrowth-predGrowth))^2)/.N),
# relativeBias=sum((obsGrowth-predGrowth))/.N/mean(obsGrowth))]
# bntGrowthSummary<-grbnt4[!is.na(predGrowth)&!is.na(obsGrowth),
# .(rmse=sqrt(sum(((obsGrowth-predGrowth))^2)/.N),
# relativeBias=sum((obsGrowth-predGrowth))/.N/mean(obsGrowth))]
#
#
# plot(NA,xlim=c(0,25),ylim=c(-1.5,1))
# for(i in sample(1:length(out$sims.list$tOpt),300,replace=T)){
# points(predictPerformance(seq(0,23.3,length.out=100),tOpt=outbkt1$sims.list$tOpt[i],
# sigma=outbkt1$sims.list$sigma[i],
# ctMax=outbkt1$sims.list$ctMax[i])~I(seq(0,23.3,length.out=100)),
# type='l',col=palette()[1])
#
# points(predictPerformance(seq(0,25.4,length.out=100),tOpt=outbkt2$sims.list$tOpt[i],
# sigma=outbkt2$sims.list$sigma[i],
# ctMax=outbkt2$sims.list$ctMax[i])~I(seq(0,24.4,length.out=100)),
# type='l',col=palette()[2])
#
# points(predictPerformance(seq(0,21.2,length.out=100),tOpt=outbkt3$sims.list$tOpt[i],
# sigma=outbkt3$sims.list$sigma[i],
# ctMax=outbkt3$sims.list$ctMax[i])~I(seq(0,21.2,length.out=100)),
# type='l',col=palette()[3])
# }
evanchildress/perform documentation built on May 16, 2019, 9:35 a.m.
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library(perform)
reconnect()
sp<-"bkt"
priors<-list(bkt=list(tOptMean=0,#14.2,
tOptPrecision=0.0001,
ctMaxMean=25,#23.4,
ctMaxPrecision=0.0001,
ctUltimate=26),#25.3),
bnt=list(tOptMean=0,#15.95,
tOptPrecision=0.0001,
ctMaxMean=25,#22.5,
ctMaxPrecision=0.0001,
ctUltimate=40)#28)
)
core<-createCoreData("electrofishing",columnsToAdd="observedWeight") %>%
# data.table() %>%
# .[,n:=.N,by=tag] %>%
# .[n>1] %>%
# .[,n:=NULL] %>%
# data.frame() %>%
addTagProperties() %>%
filter(species==sp) %>%
createCmrData() %>%
addKnownZ() %>%
#filter(knownZ==1) %>%
fillSizeLocation(size=F) %>%
addSampleProperties() %>%
addEnvironmental(funName="mean") %>%
rename(medianFlow=meanFlow)%>%
select(-meanTemperature,-lagDetectionDate) %>%
data.table() #%>%
# .[,diffSample:=c(NA,diff(sampleIndex)),by=tag]
getFirstLength<-function(riv,age,sampName){
core[river==riv&ageInSamples %in% age&sampleName %in% sampName,mean(observedLength,na.rm=T),
by=.(ageInSamples,sampleName)]$V1
}
core[,firstLength:=min(detectionDate[!is.na(observedLength)]),by=tag] %>%
.[detectionDate<firstLength&enc==1,observedLength:=getFirstLength(river,ageInSamples,sampleName),by=tag] %>%
.[,firstLength:=NULL]
if(sp=="bnt"){
core[tag=="257c59a7cc"&observedLength==258,observedLength:=NA]
core[tag=="1c2c582218"&observedLength==240,observedLength:=NA]
core[tag=="00088d22ae"&observedLength==70,observedLength:=NA]
core[tag=="257c59b698"&observedLength==117,observedLength:=NA]
core[tag=="1bf0fec1d7"&observedLength==66,observedLength:=NA]
}
if(sp=="bkt"){
core[tag=="257c67ca48"&observedLength==224,observedLength:=NA]
}
# movers<-unique(core[diffSample>1,tag])
# for(t in movers){
# core[tag==t&
# sampleIndex %in%
# sampleIndex[min(which(diffSample>1)):length(sampleIndex)],
# observedLength:=NA]
# }
# core[,diffSample:=NULL]
# core<-core[,nMeasures:=sum(!is.na(observedLength)),by=tag] %>%
# .[nMeasures>1] %>%
# .[,nMeasures:=NULL] %>%
# .[,lastObs:=detectionDate==max(detectionDate),by=tag] %>%
# .[!lastObs|!is.na(observedLength)] %>%
# .[,lastObs:=NULL] %>%
# .[,firstDate:=min(detectionDate[!is.na(observedLength)]),tag] %>%
# .[detectionDate>=firstDate] %>%
# .[,firstDate:=NULL]
core[,tagIndex:=match(tag,unique(tag))] %>%
setkey(river,year,season)
#
bktBiomass<-readRDS("vignettes/westBrook/bktBiomass.rds")
bntBiomass<-readRDS("vignettes/westBrook/bntBiomass.rds")
core<-bktBiomass[core] %>%
bntBiomass[.] %>%
setkey(tag,detectionDate)
core[is.na(bntBiomass)&river=="wb mitchell",bntBiomass:=0]
core[river=="wb obear",bntBiomass:=0]
jagsData<-createJagsData(data.frame(core) %>%
addEnvironmental()) #%>%
# .[c("firstObsRows",
# "nFirstObsRows",
# "evalRows",
# "nEvalRows",
# "nAllRows",
# "lengthDATA",
# "ind",
# "season")]
# core<-core[,.(tag,tagIndex,detectionDate,observedLength,
# bktBiomass,bntBiomass,medianFlow)]
t<-temp %>%
.[,date:=as.Date(datetime)]%>%
.[datetime>=min(core$detectionDate)&datetime<=max(core$detectionDate)] %>%
.[,.(temperature=mean(temperature)),by=.(river,datetime)] %>%
setkey(river,datetime) %>%
melt(id.vars=c("river","datetime")) %>%
dcast(datetime~river)
core[,':='(time=which.min(abs(t$datetime-detectionDate))),
by=.(tag,detectionDate)]
tempDATA<-t[,2:5]
jagsData$tempDATA<-tempDATA
jagsData$nTimes<-nrow(tempDATA)
jagsData$time<-core$time
jagsData$nInd<-max(core$tagIndex)
jagsData$bktBiomassDATA<-scale(core$bktBiomass)[,1]
jagsData$bntBiomassDATA<-scale(core$bntBiomass)[,1]
jagsData$biomassDATA<-scale(core[[paste0(sp,"Biomass")]])[,1]
jagsData$flowDATA<-scale(core$medianFlow)[,1]
jagsData$tOptMean<-priors[[sp]][["tOptMean"]]
jagsData$tOptPrecision<-priors[[sp]][["tOptPrecision"]]
jagsData$ctMaxMean<-priors[[sp]][["ctMaxMean"]]
jagsData$ctMaxPrecision<-priors[[sp]][["ctMaxPrecision"]]
jagsData$ctUltimate<-priors[[sp]][["ctUltimate"]]
jagsData$meanFlow<-mean(core$medianFlow,na.rm=T)
jagsData$sdFlow<-sd(core$medianFlow,na.rm=T)
jagsData$meanBktBiomass<-mean(core$bktBiomass,na.rm=T)
jagsData$sdBktBiomass<-sd(core$bktBiomass,na.rm=T)
jagsData$meanBntBiomass<-mean(core$bntBiomass,na.rm=T)
jagsData$sdBntBiomass<-sd(core$bntBiomass,na.rm=T)
# if(r=="wb mitchell"){
# badStarts<-as.POSIXct("2007-08-02 19:00:00","2013-05-01 00:00:00")
# badEnds<-as.POSIXct("2007-08-04 00:00:00","2013-10-01 00:00:00")
# for(b in 1:length(badStarts)){
# st<-which(t$datetime==badStarts[b])
# en<-which(t$datetime==badEnds[b])
# jagsData$evalRows<-jagsData$evalRows[
# (jagsData$time[jagsData$evalRows]&jagsData$time[jagsData$evalRows-1]<st)|
# (jagsData$time[jagsData$evalRows]&jagsData$time[jagsData$evalRows-1]>en)]
# }
# jagsData$nEvalRows<-length(jagsData$evalRows)
# }
core[,nObs:=length(na.omit(observedLength)),by=tag]
core[nObs>1,lengthInit:=approx(observedLength,n=length(observedLength))$y,by=tag]
core[,nObs:=NULL]
core[!is.na(observedLength),lengthInit:=NA]
inits<-function(){list(lengthData=core$lengthInit,
ctMax=rep(20,4),
tOpt=rep(10,4),
beta1=rep(0.015,4),
beta2=rep(-6e-05,4),
eps=rep(0.003,4))
}
parsToMonitor<-c("beta1","beta2","beta3","beta4","beta5",
"tOpt",'ctMax',"sigma","ranMonth","sigmaMonth",
'eps',"sigmaInd","lengthExp","b")
out<-fitModel(jagsData=jagsData,inits=inits,parallel=T,params=parsToMonitor,
nb=5000,ni=7000,nt=1,modelFile="modelLengthFieldAllRivers.R",codaOnly="lengthExp")
saveRDS(out,file=paste0("vignettes/westBrook/results/out",sp,".rds"))
core[,firstObs:=detectionDate==min(detectionDate),by=tag]
core[firstObs=="FALSE",predictedLength:=apply(out$sims.list$lengthExp,2,mean)]
saveRDS(core,file=paste0("vignettes/westBrook/results/core",sp,".rds"))
print(out)
# core[jagsData$evalRows,predictedLength:=apply(out$sims.list$lengthExp,2,mean)]
# core[,residual:=observedLength-predictedLength]
#
# for(r in c("wb jimmy","wb mitchell","wb obear","west brook")){
# for(sp in c("bkt")){
# if(sp=="bnt"&r=="wb obear") next
#
# out<-get(paste0("out",sp,which(r==rivers)))
# plot(NA,xlim=c(0,22),ylim=c(-1,1),main=paste(r,sp),xlab="temp",ylab="performance")
# for(i in sample(1:length(out$sims.list$tOpt),300,replace=T)){
# points(predictPerformance(0:22,tOpt=out$sims.list$tOpt[i],
# sigma=out$sims.list$sigma[i],
# ctMax=out$sims.list$ctMax[i])~I(0:22),
# type='l',col='gray')
# }
#
# core<-get(paste0("core",sp,which(r==rivers)))
# core$dummy<-1
# core[,firstObs:=detectionDate==min(detectionDate),by=tag] %>%
# .[firstObs==F,predictedLength:=apply(out$sims.list$lengthExp,2,mean)]
#
# assign(paste0("gr",sp,which(r==rivers)),
# core[,.(obsGrowth=diff(observedLength),
# predGrowth=predictedLength[2:length(observedLength)]-
# observedLength[1:(length(observedLength)-1)],
# date=detectionDate[2:length(detectionDate)]),
# by=tag] %>%
# .[,residual:=obsGrowth-predGrowth])
# assign(paste0("core",sp,which(r==rivers)),core)
#
# plot(predictedLength~observedLength,data=get(paste0("core",sp,which(r==rivers))))
# a<-lm(predictedLength~observedLength,get(paste0("core",sp,which(r==rivers))))
# text(75,150,bquote(R^2==.(round(summary(a)$r.squared,2))))
#
# plot(obsGrowth~predGrowth,data=get(paste0("gr",sp,which(r==rivers))),pch=19,col=gray(0.45,0.5))
# a<-lm(obsGrowth~predGrowth,get(paste0("gr",sp,which(r==rivers))))
# abline(a)
# abline(0,1,lty=2)
# text(5,15,bquote(R^2==.(round(summary(a)$r.squared,2))),col='black')
#
#
# # plot(mmPerDay~startLength,data=get(paste0("gr",which(r==rivers))),
# # col=gray(0.5,0.5),pch=19,main=r,xlab="startLength",ylab="growth (mm/day)")
# # x<-seq(60,300)
# # for(i in sample(1:length(out$sims.list$tOpt),300,replace=T)){
# # points(predictVonBert(x,
# # out$sims.list$beta[i,1],
# # out$sims.list$beta[i,2],
# # derivative=T)*24~x,
# # type='l',col='blue')
# # }
# #
# #
# #
# # predicted<-apply(out$sims.list$length,2,mean)
# # plot(predicted~get(paste0("gr",which(r==rivers)))$growth,main=r,
# # ylab="predicted growth",xlab="observed growth")
# # abline(0,1)
# }
# }
#
# ###code to estimate bias and mse
# bktSummary<-corebkt4[!is.na(predictedLength)&!is.na(observedLength),
# .(rmse=sqrt(sum(((observedLength-predictedLength))^2)/.N),
# relativeBias=sum((observedLength-predictedLength)/observedLength)/.N)]
# bntSummary<-corebnt4[!is.na(predictedLength)&!is.na(observedLength),
# .(rmse=sqrt(sum(((observedLength-predictedLength))^2)/.N),
# relativeBias=sum((observedLength-predictedLength)/observedLength)/.N)]
# bktGrowthSummary<-grbkt4[!is.na(predGrowth)&!is.na(obsGrowth),
# .(rmse=sqrt(sum(((obsGrowth-predGrowth))^2)/.N),
# relativeBias=sum((obsGrowth-predGrowth))/.N/mean(obsGrowth))]
# bntGrowthSummary<-grbnt4[!is.na(predGrowth)&!is.na(obsGrowth),
# .(rmse=sqrt(sum(((obsGrowth-predGrowth))^2)/.N),
# relativeBias=sum((obsGrowth-predGrowth))/.N/mean(obsGrowth))]
#
#
# plot(NA,xlim=c(0,25),ylim=c(-1.5,1))
# for(i in sample(1:length(out$sims.list$tOpt),300,replace=T)){
# points(predictPerformance(seq(0,23.3,length.out=100),tOpt=outbkt1$sims.list$tOpt[i],
# sigma=outbkt1$sims.list$sigma[i],
# ctMax=outbkt1$sims.list$ctMax[i])~I(seq(0,23.3,length.out=100)),
# type='l',col=palette()[1])
#
# points(predictPerformance(seq(0,25.4,length.out=100),tOpt=outbkt2$sims.list$tOpt[i],
# sigma=outbkt2$sims.list$sigma[i],
# ctMax=outbkt2$sims.list$ctMax[i])~I(seq(0,24.4,length.out=100)),
# type='l',col=palette()[2])
#
# points(predictPerformance(seq(0,21.2,length.out=100),tOpt=outbkt3$sims.list$tOpt[i],
# sigma=outbkt3$sims.list$sigma[i],
# ctMax=outbkt3$sims.list$ctMax[i])~I(seq(0,21.2,length.out=100)),
# type='l',col=palette()[3])
# }
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