The raw data behind the story 'Forecasting the race for the House' https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/
The dataset is a data frame with 302,859 rows representing district-level results of the classic, lite, and deluxe house forecasts since 2018/08/01 and 11 variables.
date of the forecast
state of the forecast
district of the forecast
name of the candidate
party of the candidate
whether the candidate is incumbent
the model of the forecast
the probability of the corresponding party winning
the voteshare of the corresponding party
the top 10 percentile of the voteshare
the top 00 percentile of the voteshare
the original dataset included an empty column "special", which was removed.
FiveThirtyEight’s House, Senate And Governor Models Methodology: https://fivethirtyeight.com/methodology/how-fivethirtyeights-house-and-senate-models-work/
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