data-raw/world-cup-predictions/README.md

In rudeboybert/fivethirtyeight: Data and Code Behind the Stories and Interactives at 'FiveThirtyEight'

2014 World Cup Tournament Predictions

FiveThirtyEight's forecasts for the 2014 World Cup, including each team's SPI rating and chance of advancing, updated throughout the course of the tournment. The date and time of each update are indicated in the file name: wc-YYYYMMDD-HHMMSS.csv. All times are in GMT.

Header | Definition ---|--------- spi | Soccer Power Index spi_offense | Soccer Power Index offensive rating spi_defense | Soccer Power Index defensive rating win_group | Change of coming in first place in the group stage sixteen | Chance of advancing to the knockout stage quarter | Chance of advancing to the quarter finals semi | Chance of advancing to the semi-finals cup | Chance of making it to the final game win | Chance of winning the whole thing

Note: Projections from June 27 onward reflect an improvement to FiveThirtyEight's methodology for projecting knockout-round results that estimates each team's probability of winning in extra time based on its SPI ratings. Projections prior to June 27 instead split all extra-time games 50-50.

For the World Cup predictions interactive, click here.

For an explanation of SPI, click here.

rudeboybert/fivethirtyeight documentation built on Jan. 1, 2023, 10:17 p.m.