#' Wrapper function for age mixing example of Simpact paper.
#'
#' This function simulates an HIV epidemic for 60 years and produces model
#' features for the agemixing pattern, the sexual behaviour, the population
#' growth rate, HIV prevalence, HIV incidence, and ART coverage.
#'
#' @param inputvector Vector of model input parameter values
#' @return A vector of model features
#' @import RSimpactCyan
#' @importFrom fitdistrplus fitdist
#' @importFrom dplyr filter
#' @importFrom magrittr %>%
#' @export
agemixing.1b.wrapper.for.SimpactPaper <- function(inputvector = input.vector){
#destDir <- "/Users/delvaw/Documents/temp" # on laptop
destDir <- "/user/data/gent/vsc400/vsc40070/agemixing/temp" # for VSC
age.distr <- agedistr.creator(shape = 5, scale = 65)
cfg.list <- input.params.creator(population.eyecap.fraction = 0.2,
population.simtime = 60,
population.nummen = 2500,
population.numwomen = 2500,
hivseed.time = 10,
hivseed.type = "amount",
hivseed.amount = 25, #30,
hivseed.age.min = 20,
hivseed.age.max = 25,
hivtransmission.param.a = -1,
hivtransmission.param.b = -90,
hivtransmission.param.c = 0.5,
hivtransmission.param.f1 = log(2), #log(inputvector[2]) , #log(2),
hivtransmission.param.f2 = log(log(sqrt(2)) / log(2)) / 5, #log(log(sqrt(inputvector[2])) / log(inputvector[2])) / 5, #log(log(1.4) / log(2)) / 5,
formation.hazard.agegapry.gap_factor_man_age = -0.01,
formation.hazard.agegapry.gap_factor_woman_age = -0.01,
formation.hazard.agegapry.meanage = -0.025,
formation.hazard.agegapry.gap_factor_man_const = 0,
formation.hazard.agegapry.gap_factor_woman_const = 0,
formation.hazard.agegapry.gap_factor_man_exp = -1,
formation.hazard.agegapry.gap_factor_woman_exp = -1,
formation.hazard.agegapry.gap_agescale_man = 0.25,
formation.hazard.agegapry.gap_agescale_woman = 0.25,
debut.debutage = 15,
conception.alpha_base = -2.5
)
cfg.list["formation.hazard.agegapry.baseline"] <- 2
cfg.list["mortality.aids.survtime.C"] <- 65
cfg.list["mortality.aids.survtime.k"] <- -0.2
cfg.list["monitoring.fraction.log_viralload"] <- 0.3
cfg.list["dropout.interval.dist.uniform.min"] <- 100
cfg.list["dropout.interval.dist.uniform.max"] <- 200
cfg.list["person.survtime.logoffset.dist.type"] <- "normal"
cfg.list["person.survtime.logoffset.dist.normal.mu"] <- 0
cfg.list["person.survtime.logoffset.dist.normal.sigma"] <- 0.1
cfg.list["person.agegap.man.dist.type"] <- "normal"
cfg.list["person.agegap.woman.dist.type"] <- "normal"
cfg.list["mortality.aids.survtime.C"] <- 65
cfg.list["mortality.aids.survtime.k"] <- -0.2
cfg.list["monitoring.cd4.threshold"] <- 0
cfg.list["diagnosis.baseline"] <- -99
cfg.list["population.msm"] <- "no"
cfg.list["hsv2seed.time"] <- -1 # No HVS2 seeding event
cfg.list["hsv2seed.time"] <- -1
cfg.list["hsv2seed.type"] <- "amount"
cfg.list["formation.hazard.agegapry.gap_agescale_man"] = inputvector[2]
cfg.list["formation.hazard.agegapry.gap_agescale_woman"] = inputvector[2]
cfg.list["person.agegap.man.dist.normal.mu"] <- inputvector[3]
cfg.list["person.agegap.woman.dist.normal.mu"] <- inputvector[3]
cfg.list["person.agegap.man.dist.normal.sigma"] <- inputvector[4]
cfg.list["person.agegap.woman.dist.normal.sigma"] <- inputvector[4]
cfg.list["person.eagerness.man.dist.gamma.a"] <- inputvector[5]
cfg.list["person.eagerness.woman.dist.gamma.a"] <- inputvector[6]
cfg.list["person.eagerness.man.dist.gamma.b"] <- inputvector[7]
cfg.list["person.eagerness.woman.dist.gamma.b"] <- inputvector[8]
cfg <- cfg.list
cfg["population.maxevents"] <- as.numeric(cfg.list["population.simtime"][1]) * as.numeric(cfg.list["population.nummen"][1]) * 8
cfg["monitoring.fraction.log_viralload"] <- 0.3
cfg["person.vsp.toacute.x"] <- 5 # See Bellan PLoS Medicine
seedid <- inputvector[1]
cfg["formation.hazard.agegapry.gap_factor_man_exp"] <- inputvector[9]
cfg["formation.hazard.agegapry.gap_factor_woman_exp"] <- inputvector[9]
cfg["formation.hazard.agegapry.baseline"] <- inputvector[10]
cfg["formation.hazard.agegapry.numrel_man"] <- inputvector[11]
cfg["formation.hazard.agegapry.numrel_woman"] <- inputvector[12]
cfg["conception.alpha_base"] <- inputvector[13]
cfg["dissolution.alpha_0"] <- inputvector[14]
cfg["dissolution.alpha_4"] <- 0
# Here we insert the ART acceptability paramter and the ART interventions, so that we can calibrate them
cfg["person.art.accept.threshold.dist.fixed.value"] <- 0.3
art.intro <- list()
art.intro["time"] <- 25
art.intro["diagnosis.baseline"] <- -1.2
art.intro["monitoring.cd4.threshold"] <- 100
# Gradual increase in CD4 threshold. in 2007:200. in 2010:350. in 2013:500
art.intro2 <- list()
art.intro2["time"] <- 25 + 5
art.intro2["monitoring.cd4.threshold"] <- 200
art.intro3 <- list()
art.intro3["time"] <- 25 + 8
art.intro3["monitoring.cd4.threshold"] <- 350
art.intro4 <- list()
art.intro4["time"] <- 25 + 11
art.intro4["monitoring.cd4.threshold"] <- 500
art.intro5 <- list()
art.intro5["time"] <- 25 + 13 #25 + 13
art.intro5["monitoring.cd4.threshold"] <- 600
intervention <- list(art.intro, art.intro2, art.intro3, art.intro4, art.intro5)
results <- tryCatch(simpact.run(configParams = cfg,
destDir = destDir,
agedist = age.distr,
seed = seedid,
intervention = intervention),
error = simpact.errFunction)
if (length(results) == 0){
outputvector <- rep(NA, 9 + 6 + 1 + 1 + 2 + 61 + 60 + 1 + 61 + 51)
} else {
if (as.numeric(results["eventsexecuted"]) >= (as.numeric(cfg["population.maxevents"]) - 1)) {
outputvector <- rep(NA, 9 + 6 + 1 + 1 + 2 + 61 + 60 + 1 + 61 + 51)
} else {
datalist.agemix <- readthedata(results)
agemix.episodes.df <- agemix.episodes.df.maker(datalist.agemix)
agemix.rels.like.SHIMS.df <- agemix.rels.df.maker(dataframe = agemix.episodes.df,
agegroup = c(18, 50),
timepoint = datalist.agemix$itable$population.simtime[1],
timewindow = 0.5, # Ongoing the 3 most recent relationships in the past 6 months
start = FALSE) %>%
dplyr::group_by(ID) %>%
dplyr::top_n(3, DisTime)
agemix.model <- tryCatch(amp.modeller(dataframe = agemix.episodes.df,
agegroup = c(18, 50),
timepoint = datalist.agemix$itable$population.simtime[1],
timewindow = 0.5,
start = FALSE,
SHIMS = TRUE,
method = "lmer"),
error = function(agemixing.err) {
return(list()) # Returns an empty list if the lme(r) models can't be fitted
})
bignumber <- NA
AAD.male <- ifelse(length(agemix.model) > 0, mean(dplyr::filter(agemix.rels.like.SHIMS.df, Gender =="male")$AgeGap), bignumber)
SDAD.male <- ifelse(length(agemix.model) > 0, sd(dplyr::filter(agemix.rels.like.SHIMS.df, Gender =="male")$AgeGap), bignumber)
slope.male <- ifelse(length(agemix.model) > 0, summary(agemix.model$male.model)$coefficients[2, 1], bignumber)
WSD.male <- ifelse(length(agemix.model) > 0, summary(agemix.model$male.model)$sigma, bignumber)
BSD.male <- ifelse(length(agemix.model) > 0, bsd.extractor(agemix.model, gender = "male"), bignumber)
intercept.male <- ifelse(length(agemix.model) > 0, summary(agemix.model$male.model)$coefficients[1,1], bignumber)
# The above agemixing metrics are the same as those computed in Step 1a.
###########
# We also want to calculate them for the period around the introduction of HIV (t9.5 - t10).
agemix.10.rels.like.SHIMS.df <- agemix.rels.df.maker(dataframe = agemix.episodes.df,
agegroup = c(18, 50),
timepoint = datalist.agemix$itable$hivseed.time[1],
timewindow = 0.5, # Ongoing the 3 most recent relationships in the past 6 months
start = FALSE) %>%
dplyr::group_by(ID) %>%
dplyr::top_n(3, DisTime)
agemix.10.model <- tryCatch(amp.modeller(dataframe = agemix.episodes.df,
agegroup = c(18, 50),
timepoint = datalist.agemix$itable$hivseed.time[1],
timewindow = 0.5,
start = FALSE,
SHIMS = TRUE,
method = "lmer"),
error = function(agemixing.err) {
return(list()) # Returns an empty list if the lme(r) models can't be fitted
})
AAD.10.male <- ifelse(length(agemix.10.model) > 0, mean(dplyr::filter(agemix.10.rels.like.SHIMS.df, Gender =="male")$AgeGap), bignumber)
SDAD.10.male <- ifelse(length(agemix.10.model) > 0, sd(dplyr::filter(agemix.10.rels.like.SHIMS.df, Gender =="male")$AgeGap), bignumber)
slope.10.male <- ifelse(length(agemix.10.model) > 0, summary(agemix.10.model$male.model)$coefficients[2, 1], bignumber)
WSD.10.male <- ifelse(length(agemix.10.model) > 0, summary(agemix.10.model$male.model)$sigma, bignumber)
BSD.10.male <- ifelse(length(agemix.10.model) > 0, bsd.extractor(agemix.10.model, gender = "male"), bignumber)
intercept.10.male <- ifelse(length(agemix.10.model) > 0, summary(agemix.10.model$male.model)$coefficients[1,1], bignumber)
# Sexual behaviour metrics
num.rels <- agemix.rels.df.maker(dataframe = agemix.episodes.df,
agegroup = c(18, 50),
timepoint = datalist.agemix$itable$population.simtime[1],
timewindow = 1,
start = TRUE) %>%
dplyr::filter(Gender == "male") %>%
nrow()
num.men <- alive.infected(datalist = datalist.agemix,
timepoint = datalist.agemix$itable$population.simtime[1],
site = "All") %>%
dplyr::filter(Gender == 1,
TOB <= datalist.agemix$itable$population.simtime[1] - 18,
TOB > datalist.agemix$itable$population.simtime[1] - 50) %>%
nrow()
meandegree.male <- num.rels/num.men
# # Concurrency point prevalence 6 months before a survey, among men
pp.cp.6months.male <- concurr.pointprev.calculator(datalist = datalist.agemix,
agegroup = c(15, 50),
timepoint = datalist.agemix$itable$population.simtime[1],
hivstatus = 2)[1,2] %>% as.numeric()
# The above metrics are the same as the one computed in Step 1a.
###########
# We also want to calculate them for the period around the introduction of HIV.
num.rels.10 <- agemix.rels.df.maker(dataframe = agemix.episodes.df,
agegroup = c(18, 50),
timepoint = datalist.agemix$itable$hivseed.time[1],
timewindow = 1,
start = TRUE) %>%
dplyr::filter(Gender == "male") %>%
nrow()
num.men.10 <- alive.infected(datalist = datalist.agemix,
timepoint = datalist.agemix$itable$hivseed.time[1],
site = "All") %>%
dplyr::filter(Gender == 1,
TOB <= datalist.agemix$itable$hivseed.time[1] - 18,
TOB > datalist.agemix$itable$hivseed.time[1] - 50) %>%
nrow()
meandegree.male.10 <- num.rels.10/num.men.10
# # Concurrency point prevalence 6 months before a survey, among men
pp.cp.6months.male.10 <- concurr.pointprev.calculator(datalist = datalist.agemix,
agegroup = c(15, 50),
timepoint = datalist.agemix$itable$hivseed.time[1],
hivstatus = 2)[1,2] %>% as.numeric()
# AMOUNT OF TIME SPENT IN RELATIONSHIPS in the first 10 years of THE SIMULATION: A NEW METRIC IN THIS EXPLORATION
rel.start.vector.10 <- pmin(datalist.agemix$rtable$FormTime, 10)
rel.end.vector.10 <- pmin(datalist.agemix$rtable$DisTime, 10)
total.rel.time.10 <- sum(rel.end.vector.10 - rel.start.vector.10)
# Also the ratio of relationship time in the last year of the simulation,
# divided by number of people alive at the timepoint (population.simtime - 1),
# to get a sense for the rate at which people for relationships (because the rate at which they break up is the same in all simulations)
rel.end.minus.one.vector.10 <- pmin(datalist.agemix$rtable$DisTime, 9)#(datalist.agemix$itable$population.simtime[1] - 1))
rel.start.minus.one.vector.10 <- pmin(datalist.agemix$rtable$FormTime, 9)#(datalist.agemix$itable$population.simtime[1] - 1))
total.rel.time.minus.one.10 <- sum(rel.end.minus.one.vector.10 - rel.start.minus.one.vector.10)
rel.time.minus.one.10 <- total.rel.time.10 - total.rel.time.minus.one.10 # reltime in the last year before HIV is introduced
pop.size.minus.one.10 <- datalist.agemix$ltable$PopSize[(datalist.agemix$itable$hivseed.time[1] - 1)]
rel.pp.minus.one.10 <- rel.time.minus.one.10 / pop.size.minus.one.10
#########
# The HIV prevalence, over time
#########
prev.vector <- tryCatch(prevalence.vector.creator(datalist = datalist.agemix, agegroup = c(15, 50)) %>%
dplyr::filter(pointestimate == TRUE) %>%
dplyr::select(prevalence) %>%
unlist() %>%
as.numeric(),
error = function(prev.err) {
return(rep(NA, (1 + datalist.agemix$itable$population.simtime[1])))
})
########
# The HIV incidence, over time
#########
inc.vector <- tryCatch(incidence.vector.creator(datalist = datalist.agemix, agegroup = c(15, 50)),
error = function(inc.err) {
return(rep(NA, datalist.agemix$itable$population.simtime[1]))
})
########
# ART coverage, over time
#########
art.cov.vector <- tryCatch(ART.coverage.vector.creator(datalist = datalist.agemix, agegroup = c(15, 50)),
error = function(art.cov.err) {
return(rep(NA, (1 + datalist.agemix$itable$population.simtime[1])))
})
#########
# The average age of HIV-positive people, over time
#########
mean.age.pos.vector <- tryCatch(mean.age.pos.vector.creator(datalist = datalist.agemix,
timevector = seq(from = datalist.agemix$itable$hivseed.time[1],
to = datalist.agemix$itable$population.simtime[1])),
error = function(mean.pos.err) {
return(rep(NA, (1 + datalist.agemix$itable$population.simtime[1] - datalist.agemix$itable$hivseed.time[1])))
})
# Population growth rate
growthrate <- pop.growth.calculator(datalist = datalist.agemix,
timewindow = c(0, datalist.agemix$itable$population.simtime[1]))
growthrate.10 <- pop.growth.calculator(datalist = datalist.agemix,
timewindow = c(0, datalist.agemix$itable$hivseed.time[1]))
outputvector <- c(AAD.male, SDAD.male, slope.male, WSD.male, BSD.male, intercept.male,
AAD.10.male, SDAD.10.male, slope.10.male, WSD.10.male, BSD.10.male, intercept.10.male,
meandegree.male, meandegree.male.10,
pp.cp.6months.male, pp.cp.6months.male.10,
total.rel.time.10,
rel.pp.minus.one.10,
exp(growthrate), exp(growthrate.10),
prev.vector,
inc.vector,
art.cov.vector,
mean.age.pos.vector)
}
}
return(outputvector)
}
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