Description Usage Arguments Details Value Examples
GBM is a commonly used stochastic process to simulate the price paths of stock prices and other assets, in which the log of the asset follows a random walk process with drift.
The GBM_simulate
function utilizes antithetic variates as a simple variance reduction technique.
1 | GBM_simulate(n, t, mu, sigma, S0, dt)
|
n |
The total number of price paths to simulate |
t |
The forecasting period, in years |
mu |
The drift term of the GBM process |
sigma |
The volatility term of the GBM process |
S0 |
The initial value of the underlying asset |
dt |
The discrete time step of observations, in years |
A stochastic process S(t) is a geometric brownian motion that follows the following continuous-time stochastic differential equation:
dS(t)/S(t) = mu dt + sigma dW(t)
Where 'mu' is the drift term, 'sigma' the volatility term and W(t) is defined as a Weiner process.
The GBM is log-normally distributed.
A matrix of simulated price paths of the GBM process. Each column corresponds to a simulated price path, and each row corresponds to a simulated observed price of the simulated price paths at each discrete time period.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 | ## 100 simulations of 1 year of monthly price paths:
Simulated <- GBM_simulate(n = 100,
t = 1,
mu = 0.05,
sigma = 0.2,
S0 = 100,
dt = 1/12)
|
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