soften_mean | R Documentation |
If the mean is > .5, trim the top trim%; if < .5, the bottom trim%. Return the new mean (i.e. soften the mean).
soften_mean(x, p = 0.1)
x |
Vector of forecasts in 0 to 100 range (%) |
p |
The proportion of forecasts to trim from each end (between 0 and 1) |
(numeric) The softened mean of the vector
This goes against usual wisdom of extremizing the mean, but performs well when the crowd has some overconfident forecasters in it.
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