interpret | R Documentation |
Micro-level interpretation of (T)ERGMs.
interpret(object, ...)
## S4 method for signature 'ergm'
interpret(
object,
formula = getformula(object),
coefficients = coef(object),
target = NULL,
type = "tie",
i,
j
)
## S4 method for signature 'btergm'
interpret(
object,
formula = getformula(object),
coefficients = coef(object),
target = NULL,
type = "tie",
i,
j,
t = 1:object@time.steps
)
## S4 method for signature 'mtergm'
interpret(
object,
formula = getformula(object),
coefficients = coef(object),
target = NULL,
type = "tie",
i,
j,
t = 1:object@time.steps
)
object |
An |
... |
Further arguments to be passed on to subroutines. |
formula |
The formula to be used for computing probabilities. By default, the formula embedded in the model object is retrieved and used. |
coefficients |
The estimates on which probabilities should be based. By
default, the coefficients from the model object are retrieved and used.
Custom coefficients can be handed over, for example, in order to compare
versions of the model where the reciprocity term is fixed at |
target |
The response network on which probabilities are based.
Depending on whether the function is applied to an |
type |
If |
i |
A single (sender) node |
j |
A single (receiver) node |
t |
A vector of (numerical) time steps for which the probabilities
should be computed. This only applies to |
The interpret
function facilitates interpretation of ERGMs and TERGMs
at the micro level, as described in Desmarais and Cranmer (2012). There are
methods for ergm
objects, btergm
objects, and mtergm
objects. The function can be used to interpret these models at the tie or
edge level, dyad level, and block level. For example, what is the probability
that two specific nodes i
(the sender) and j
(the receiver) are
connected given the rest of the network and given the model? Or what is the
probability that any two nodes are tied at t = 2
if they were tied (or
disconnected) at t = 1
(i.e., what is the amount of tie stability)?
These tie- or edge-level questions can be answered if the type = "tie"
argument is used.
Another example: What is the probability that node i
has a tie to node
j
but not vice-versa? Or that i
and j
maintain a
reciprocal tie? Or that they are disconnected? How much more or less likely
are i
and j
reciprocally connected if the mutual
term in
the model is fixed at 0
(compared to the model that includes the
estimated parameter for reciprocity)? See example below. These dyad-level
questions can be answered if the type = "dyad"
argument is used.
Or what is the probability that a specific node i
is connected to
nodes j1
and j2
but not to j5
and j7
? And how
likely is any node i
to be connected to exactly four j
nodes?
These node-level questions (focusing on the ties of node i
or node
j
) can be answered by using the type = "node"
argument.
The typical procedure is to manually enumerate all dyads or
sender-receiver-time combinations with certain properties and repeat the same
thing with some alternative properties for contrasting the two groups. Then
apply the interpret
function to the two groups of dyads and compute a
measure of central tendency (e.g., mean or median) and possibly some
uncertainy measure (i.e., confidence intervals) from the distribution of
dyadic probabilities in each group. For example, if there is a gender
attribute, one can sample male-male or female-female dyads, compute the
distributions of edge probabilities for the two sets of dyads, and create
boxplots or barplots with confidence intervals for the two types of dyads in
order to contrast edge probabilities for male versus female same-sex dyads.
See also the edgeprob
function for automatic computation of all
dyadic edge probabilities.
interpret(ergm)
: Interpret method for ergm
objects
interpret(btergm)
: Interpret method for btergm
objects
interpret(mtergm)
: Interpret method for mtergm
objects
Desmarais, Bruce A. and Skyler J. Cranmer (2012): Micro-Level Interpretation of Exponential Random Graph Models with Application to Estuary Networks. Policy Studies Journal 40(3): 402–434. \Sexpr[results=rd]{tools:::Rd_expr_doi("10.1111/j.1541-0072.2012.00459.x")}.
Leifeld, Philip, Skyler J. Cranmer and Bruce A. Desmarais (2017): Temporal Exponential Random Graph Models with btergm: Estimation and Bootstrap Confidence Intervals. Journal of Statistical Software 83(6): 1–36. \Sexpr[results=rd]{tools:::Rd_expr_doi("10.18637/jss.v083.i06")}.
Czarna, Anna Z., Philip Leifeld, Magdalena Smieja, Michael Dufner and Peter Salovey (2016): Do Narcissism and Emotional Intelligence Win Us Friends? Modeling Dynamics of Peer Popularity Using Inferential Network Analysis. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin 42(11): 1588–1599. \Sexpr[results=rd]{tools:::Rd_expr_doi("10.1177/0146167216666265")}.
Other interpretation:
edgeprob()
,
marginalplot()
##### The following example is a TERGM adaptation of the #####
##### dyad-level example provided in figure 5(c) on page #####
##### 424 of Desmarais and Cranmer (2012) in the PSJ. At #####
##### each time step, it compares dyadic probabilities #####
##### (no tie, unidirectional tie, and reciprocal tie #####
##### probability) between a fitted model and a model #####
##### where the reciprocity effect is fixed at 0 based #####
##### on 20 randomly selected dyads per time step. The #####
##### results are visualized using a grouped bar plot. #####
## Not run:
# create toy dataset and fit a model
networks <- list()
for (i in 1:3) { # create 3 random networks with 10 actors
mat <- matrix(rbinom(100, 1, 0.25), nrow = 10, ncol = 10)
diag(mat) <- 0 # loops are excluded
nw <- network(mat) # create network object
networks[[i]] <- nw # add network to the list
}
fit <- btergm(networks ~ edges + istar(2) + mutual, R = 200)
# extract coefficients and create null hypothesis vector
null <- coef(fit) # estimated coefs
null[3] <- 0 # set mutual term = 0
# sample 20 dyads per time step and compute probability ratios
probabilities <- matrix(nrow = 9, ncol = length(networks))
# nrow = 9 because three probabilities + upper and lower CIs
colnames(probabilities) <- paste("t =", 1:length(networks))
for (t in 1:length(networks)) {
d <- dim(as.matrix(networks[[t]])) # how many row and column nodes?
size <- d[1] * d[2] # size of the matrix
nw <- matrix(1:size, nrow = d[1], ncol = d[2])
nw <- nw[lower.tri(nw)] # sample only from lower triangle b/c
samp <- sample(nw, 20) # dyadic probabilities are symmetric
prob.est.00 <- numeric(0)
prob.est.01 <- numeric(0)
prob.est.11 <- numeric(0)
prob.null.00 <- numeric(0)
prob.null.01 <- numeric(0)
prob.null.11 <- numeric(0)
for (k in 1:20) {
i <- arrayInd(samp[k], d)[1, 1] # recover 'i's and 'j's from sample
j <- arrayInd(samp[k], d)[1, 2]
# run interpretation function with estimated coefs and mutual = 0:
int.est <- interpret(fit, type = "dyad", i = i, j = j, t = t)
int.null <- interpret(fit, coefficients = null, type = "dyad",
i = i, j = j, t = t)
prob.est.00 <- c(prob.est.00, int.est[[1]][1, 1])
prob.est.11 <- c(prob.est.11, int.est[[1]][2, 2])
mean.est.01 <- (int.est[[1]][1, 2] + int.est[[1]][2, 1]) / 2
prob.est.01 <- c(prob.est.01, mean.est.01)
prob.null.00 <- c(prob.null.00, int.null[[1]][1, 1])
prob.null.11 <- c(prob.null.11, int.null[[1]][2, 2])
mean.null.01 <- (int.null[[1]][1, 2] + int.null[[1]][2, 1]) / 2
prob.null.01 <- c(prob.null.01, mean.null.01)
}
prob.ratio.00 <- prob.est.00 / prob.null.00 # ratio of est. and null hyp
prob.ratio.01 <- prob.est.01 / prob.null.01
prob.ratio.11 <- prob.est.11 / prob.null.11
probabilities[1, t] <- mean(prob.ratio.00) # mean estimated 00 tie prob
probabilities[2, t] <- mean(prob.ratio.01) # mean estimated 01 tie prob
probabilities[3, t] <- mean(prob.ratio.11) # mean estimated 11 tie prob
ci.00 <- t.test(prob.ratio.00, conf.level = 0.99)$conf.int
ci.01 <- t.test(prob.ratio.01, conf.level = 0.99)$conf.int
ci.11 <- t.test(prob.ratio.11, conf.level = 0.99)$conf.int
probabilities[4, t] <- ci.00[1] # lower 00 conf. interval
probabilities[5, t] <- ci.01[1] # lower 01 conf. interval
probabilities[6, t] <- ci.11[1] # lower 11 conf. interval
probabilities[7, t] <- ci.00[2] # upper 00 conf. interval
probabilities[8, t] <- ci.01[2] # upper 01 conf. interval
probabilities[9, t] <- ci.11[2] # upper 11 conf. interval
}
# create barplots from probability ratios and CIs
require("gplots")
bp <- barplot2(probabilities[1:3, ], beside = TRUE, plot.ci = TRUE,
ci.l = probabilities[4:6, ], ci.u = probabilities[7:9, ],
col = c("tan", "tan2", "tan3"), ci.col = "grey40",
xlab = "Dyadic tie values", ylab = "Estimated Prob./Null Prob.")
mtext(1, at = bp, text = c("(0,0)", "(0,1)", "(1,1)"), line = 0, cex = 0.5)
##### The following examples illustrate the behavior of #####
##### the interpret function with undirected and/or #####
##### bipartite graphs with or without structural zeros. #####
library("statnet")
library("btergm")
# micro-level interpretation for undirected network with structural zeros
set.seed(12345)
mat <- matrix(rbinom(400, 1, 0.1), nrow = 20, ncol = 20)
mat[1, 5] <- 1
mat[10, 7] <- 1
mat[15, 3] <- 1
mat[18, 4] < 1
nw <- network(mat, directed = FALSE, bipartite = FALSE)
cv <- matrix(rnorm(400), nrow = 20, ncol = 20)
offsetmat <- matrix(rbinom(400, 1, 0.1), nrow = 20, ncol = 20)
offsetmat[1, 5] <- 1
offsetmat[10, 7] <- 1
offsetmat[15, 3] <- 1
offsetmat[18, 4] < 1
model <- ergm(nw ~ edges + kstar(2) + edgecov(cv) + offset(edgecov(offsetmat)),
offset.coef = -Inf)
summary(model)
# tie-level interpretation (note that dyad interpretation would not make any
# sense in an undirected network):
interpret(model, type = "tie", i = 1, j = 2) # 0.28 (= normal dyad)
interpret(model, type = "tie", i = 1, j = 5) # 0.00 (= structural zero)
# node-level interpretation; note the many 0 probabilities due to the
# structural zeros; also note the warning message that the probabilities may
# be slightly imprecise because -Inf needs to be approximated by some large
# negative number (-9e8):
interpret(model, type = "node", i = 1, j = 3:5)
# repeat the same exercise for a directed network
nw <- network(mat, directed = TRUE, bipartite = FALSE)
model <- ergm(nw ~ edges + istar(2) + edgecov(cv) + offset(edgecov(offsetmat)),
offset.coef = -Inf)
interpret(model, type = "tie", i = 1, j = 2) # 0.13 (= normal dyad)
interpret(model, type = "tie", i = 1, j = 5) # 0.00 (= structural zero)
interpret(model, type = "dyad", i = 1, j = 2) # results for normal dyad
interpret(model, type = "dyad", i = 1, j = 5) # results for i->j struct. zero
interpret(model, type = "node", i = 1, j = 3:5)
# micro-level interpretation for bipartite graph with structural zeros
set.seed(12345)
mat <- matrix(rbinom(200, 1, 0.1), nrow = 20, ncol = 10)
mat[1, 5] <- 1
mat[10, 7] <- 1
mat[15, 3] <- 1
mat[18, 4] < 1
nw <- network(mat, directed = FALSE, bipartite = TRUE)
cv <- matrix(rnorm(200), nrow = 20, ncol = 10) # some covariate
offsetmat <- matrix(rbinom(200, 1, 0.1), nrow = 20, ncol = 10)
offsetmat[1, 5] <- 1
offsetmat[10, 7] <- 1
offsetmat[15, 3] <- 1
offsetmat[18, 4] < 1
model <- ergm(nw ~ edges + b1star(2) + edgecov(cv)
+ offset(edgecov(offsetmat)), offset.coef = -Inf)
summary(model)
# tie-level interpretation; note the index for the second mode starts with 21
interpret(model, type = "tie", i = 1, j = 21)
# dyad-level interpretation does not make sense because network is undirected;
# node-level interpretation prints warning due to structural zeros, but
# computes the correct probabilities (though slightly imprecise because -Inf
# is approximated by some small number:
interpret(model, type = "node", i = 1, j = 21:25)
# compute all dyadic probabilities
dyads <- edgeprob(model)
dyads
## End(Not run)
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