forecast-arima.md
In equatiomatic: Transform Models into 'LaTeX' Equations

Basic ARIMA model functions

$$
(1 -\phi_{1}\operatorname{B} )\ (1 -\Phi_{1}\operatorname{B}^{\operatorname{4}} )\ (1 - \operatorname{B}) (y_{t} -\delta\operatorname{t}) = (1 +\theta_{1}\operatorname{B} )\ (1 +\Theta_{1}\operatorname{B}^{\operatorname{4}} )\ \varepsilon_{t}
$$

$$
(1 -0.004\operatorname{B} )\ (1 -0.39\operatorname{B}^{\operatorname{4}} )\ (1 - \operatorname{B}) (y_{t} -3e-05\operatorname{t}) = (1 -1\operatorname{B} )\ (1 -0.36\operatorname{B}^{\operatorname{4}} )\ \varepsilon_{t}
$$

Regression w/ ARIMA Errors functions

$$
\begin{alignat}{2}
&\text{let}\quad &&y_{t} = \operatorname{y}_{\operatorname{0}} +\delta\operatorname{t} +\beta_{1}\operatorname{x1}_{\operatorname{t}} +\beta_{2}\operatorname{x2}_{\operatorname{t}} +\eta_{t} \\
&\text{where}\quad  &&(1 -\phi_{1}\operatorname{B} )\ (1 -\Phi_{1}\operatorname{B}^{\operatorname{4}} )\ (1 - \operatorname{B}) \eta_{t}  \\
& &&= (1 +\theta_{1}\operatorname{B} )\ (1 +\Theta_{1}\operatorname{B}^{\operatorname{4}} )\ \varepsilon_{t} \\
&\text{where}\quad &&\varepsilon_{t} \sim{WN(0, \sigma^{2})}
\end{alignat}
$$

$$
\begin{alignat}{2}
&\text{let}\quad &&y_{t} = \operatorname{y}_{\operatorname{0}} -1e-04\operatorname{t} -0.02\operatorname{x1}_{\operatorname{t}} -0.004\operatorname{x2}_{\operatorname{t}} +\eta_{t} \\
&\text{where}\quad  &&(1 -0.01\operatorname{B} )\ (1 +0.78\operatorname{B}^{\operatorname{4}} )\ (1 - \operatorname{B}) \eta_{t}  \\
& &&= (1 -1\operatorname{B} )\ (1 +0.82\operatorname{B}^{\operatorname{4}} )\ \varepsilon_{t} \\
&\text{where}\quad &&\varepsilon_{t} \sim{WN(0, \sigma^{2})}
\end{alignat}
$$