AR  R Documentation 
Searches through the vector of lag orders to find the best AR model which
has lowest AIC, AICc or BIC value. It is implemented using OLS, and behaves
comparably to stats::ar.ols()
.
AR(formula, ic = c("aicc", "aic", "bic"), ...)
formula 
Model specification (see "Specials" section). 
ic 
The information criterion used in selecting the model. 
... 
Further arguments for arima 
Exogenous regressors and common_xregs
can be specified in the model
formula.
A model specification.
The order
special is used to specify the lag order for the autoregression.
order(p = 0:15, fixed = list())
p  The order of the autoregressive (AR) terms. If multiple values are provided, the one which minimises ic will be chosen. 
fixed  A named list of fixed parameters for coefficients. The names identify the coefficient, beginning with ar , and then followed by the lag order. For example, fixed = list(ar1 = 0.3, ar3 = 0) .

Exogenous regressors can be included in an AR model without explicitly using the xreg()
special. Common exogenous regressor specials as specified in common_xregs
can also be used. These regressors are handled using stats::model.frame()
, and so interactions and other functionality behaves similarly to stats::lm()
.
The inclusion of a constant in the model follows the similar rules to stats::lm()
, where including 1
will add a constant and 0
or 1
will remove the constant. If left out, the inclusion of a constant will be determined by minimising ic
.
xreg(..., fixed = list())
...  Bare expressions for the exogenous regressors (such as log(x) ) 
fixed  A named list of fixed parameters for coefficients. The names identify the coefficient, and should match the name of the regressor. For example, fixed = list(constant = 20) .

Forecasting: Principles and Practices, Vector autoregressions (section 11.2)
luteinizing_hormones < as_tsibble(lh) fit < luteinizing_hormones %>% model(AR(value ~ order(3))) report(fit) fit %>% forecast() %>% autoplot(luteinizing_hormones)
Add the following code to your website.
For more information on customizing the embed code, read Embedding Snippets.