knitr::opts_chunk$set(echo = TRUE) library(dplyr)
If you understand the basic idea of what difference-in-differences with staggered adoptions is, all you need to know about fused extended two-way fixed effects (FETWFE) to get started using the {fetwfe}
package is this: given an appropriately formatted panel data set, fetwfe()
will give you an estimate of the overall average treatment effect on the treated units, the average treatment effect within each cohort, and standard errors for each of these estimates.
Feel free to skip to the "Package Usage" section if you want to jump right in to using the package. In the next "Background" subsection, you can read a little more background information on the methodology if you'd like.
This vignette is written under the assumption that you're at least vaguely familiar with developments in difference-in-differences with staggered adoptions since about 2018. Just to make sure we're on the same page, the brief recap is:
The estimator in this package, fused extended two-way fixed effects (FETWFE), is one of those asymptotically unbiased estimators. Of course, I made this estimator because I think FETWFE brings something to the table that the others don't. Here's a brief summary on that:
One issue with these estimators has been that they've worked so hard to be unbiased that they are inefficient (in the language of econometrics), or high-variance (in the language of machine learning). These estimators add extra parameters in order to remove bias, but estimating extra parameters means you have less data per parameter and your estimates are noisier.
In machine learning, creating a more flexible estimator with lots of parameters and then finding that it is too high variance (that is, it overfits) is a familiar issue. The most common solution has been regularization.
You could just add $\ell_2$ or $\ell_1$ regularization to a difference-in-differences regression estimator and probably see an improvement in your efficiency, but FETWFE does something more sophisticated than that. (Plus, that approach wouldn't allow you to get valid standard errors for your treatment effect estimates, but FETWFE does.) Qualitatively, FETWFE uses machine learning to learn which of these added parameters were actually unnecessary to add, and then takes them back out in order to improve efficiency.
That's all the description I'll give you in this vignette. You can learn all of the details in the paper on arXiv:
Fused Extended Two-Way Fixed Effects for Difference-in-Differences With Staggered Adoptions
If you want to learn a little more before you dive into the full paper, here are some other resources with descriptions of the methodology that provide a little more detail than this vignette:
But the headline summary of what fused extended two-way fixed effects brings to the table in a crowded field of estimators is: fused extended two-way fixed effects is not only unbiased, it also uses machine learning to maximize efficiency (minimize variance). Further, unlike many machine learning estimators, fused extended two-way fixed effects gives you valid standard errors for the treatment effect estimates.
The package provides a single exported function, fetwfe()
, which implements the FETWFE estimator. Its primary arguments include:
pdata
: A data frame in panel (long) format.time_var
: A character string specifying the name of the time period variable.unit_var
: A character string specifying the unit (e.g. state, firm) variable.treatment
: A character string specifying the treatment indicator variable (which must be an absorbing binary indicator).response
: A character string specifying the response (outcome) variable.covs
: A character vector of covariate names (typically time-invariant or the pre-treatment values), if applicable.q
) and options for verbosity, standard error calculation, and so on.The function returns a list containing, for example, the estimated overall average treatment effect, cohort-specific treatment effects, standard errors (when available), and various diagnostic quantities.
You can get the full documentation details by using ?fetwfe
in R when you have the package loaded.
In the next sections, we'll walk through examples of how fetwfe()
is used.
I'll start illustrating how to use fetwfe()
by using a simulated data set. The example below simulates a balanced panel with 60 time periods, 30 individuals, and 5 waves of treatment.
In the simulation, each individual is assigned a random cohort (which determines the timing of treatment) and three time-invariant covariates are generated. The response variable is constructed so that, after treatment, its evolution depends on a treatment effect (which varies by cohort) and a linear trend, plus the covariates and some random noise.
Below is the complete code for simulating the data, converting it into the required pdata format, and running the fetwfe()
function.
I borrowed some of the below code from Asjad Naqvi's helpful website for DiD estimators. Thanks for sharing the code publicly!
# Set seed for reproducibility set.seed(123456L) # 20 time periods, 30 individuals, and 5 waves of treatment tmax = 20; imax = 30; nlvls = 5 dat = expand.grid(time = 1:tmax, id = 1:imax) |> within({ cohort = NA effect = NA first_treat = NA for (chrt in 1:imax) { cohort = ifelse(id==chrt, sample.int(nlvls, 1), cohort) } for (lvls in 1:nlvls) { effect = ifelse(cohort==lvls, sample(2:10, 1), effect) first_treat = ifelse(cohort==lvls, sample(1:(tmax+6), 1), first_treat) } first_treat = ifelse(first_treat>tmax, Inf, first_treat) treat = time >= first_treat rel_time = time - first_treat y = id + time + ifelse(treat, effect*rel_time, 0) + rnorm(imax*tmax) rm(chrt, lvls, cohort, effect) }) head(dat)
The simulated data (dat
) now has columns for time, id, a treatment indicator (treat
), and a response variable (y
). Next, we convert this data into the panel data format required by fetwfe()
.
library(dplyr) # Specify column names for the pdata format time_var <- "time" # Column for the time period unit_var <- "unit" # Column for the unit identifier treatment <- "treated" # Column for the treatment dummy indicator response <- "response" # Column for the response variable # Convert the dataset pdata <- dat |> mutate( # Rename id to unit and convert to character {{ unit_var }} := as.character(id), # Ensure treatment dummy is 0/1 {{ treatment }} := as.integer(treat), # Rename y to response {{ response }} := y ) |> select( {{ time_var }}, {{ unit_var }}, {{ treatment }}, {{ response }} ) # Preview the resulting pdata dataframe head(pdata)
Now that pdata
is properly formatted, we run the FETWFE estimator on the simulated data.
library(fetwfe) # Run the FETWFE estimator on the simulated data result <- fetwfe( pdata = pdata, # The panel dataset time_var = "time", # The time variable unit_var = "unit", # The unit identifier treatment = "treated", # The treatment dummy indicator response = "response" # The response variable ) # Display the average treatment effect estimates summary(result)
When you run this code, the function internally performs all the necessary data preparation, applies the fusion penalty via a bridge regression (using the grpreg
package), and returns a list with overall and cohort-specific treatment effect estimates, standard errors (if available), and additional diagnostics.
See the other vignette for an example of how you can use functions in the FETWFE package to simulate panel data.
Next I illustrate FETWFE in an empirical context. I'll use data from Stevenson and Wolfers (2006), via the divorce
data set from the bacondecomp
package, on the impact of no-fault divorce laws on women's suicide rates. (See also Goodman-Bacon (2021) for an alternative analysis.) The below is identical to the data application from my paper.
In this application, the panel data consist of state-level observations over 33 years. After removing states that received treatment in the first period, we are left with 42 states, of which 5 are never treated and 12 cohorts adopt treatment at various times.
Unlike the above example, this example also includes covariates (such as the state homicide rate, logged personal income, and welfare participation) as controls. Because the covariates are time-varying, the code selects the pre-treatment values. In this example, FETWFE estimates the marginal average treatment effect of no-fault divorce laws.
library(bacondecomp) # for the example data # Load the example data data(divorce) set.seed(23451) # Suppose we wish to estimate the effect of a policy (here represented by the variable "changed") # on the response "suiciderate_elast_jag" using covariates "murderrate", "lnpersinc", and "afdcrolls". # Here # - 'year' is the time period variable (as an integer), # - 'st' is the unit identifier, # - 'changed' is the treatment indicator (with 0 = untreated, 1 = treated), # # The `fetwfe()` function will automatically take care of removing units that were treated in the # first time period. # Call the estimator res <- fetwfe( pdata=divorce[divorce$sex == 2, ], time_var="year", unit_var="st", treatment="changed", covs=c("murderrate", "lnpersinc", "afdcrolls"), response="suiciderate_elast_jag" ) summary(res) # Average treatment effect on the treated units (in percentage point # units) 100 * res$att_hat # Conservative 95% confidence interval for ATT (in percentage point units) low_att <- 100 * (res$att_hat - qnorm(1 - 0.05 / 2) * res$att_se) high_att <- 100 * (res$att_hat + qnorm(1 - 0.05 / 2) * res$att_se) c(low_att, high_att) # Cohort average treatment effects and confidence intervals (in percentage # point units) catt_df_pct <- res$catt_df catt_df_pct[["Estimated TE"]] <- 100 * catt_df_pct[["Estimated TE"]] catt_df_pct[["SE"]] <- 100 * catt_df_pct[["SE"]] catt_df_pct[["ConfIntLow"]] <- 100 * catt_df_pct[["ConfIntLow"]] catt_df_pct[["ConfIntHigh"]] <- 100 * catt_df_pct[["ConfIntHigh"]] catt_df_pct
For the data application, FETWFE yielded an overall ATT of approximately –1.84% change in the female suicide rate, similar to other estimates in the literature. In addition, the output table (stored in result_emp$catt_df
) displays the cohort-specific estimates. (Note that standard errors for the individual cohort estimates are less reliable when the number of units per cohort is small.)
This should be enough to get you started using fetwfe()
on your own data. Please feel free to reach out if you have any questions or feedback or run into any issues using the package. You can also create an issue if you think there’s a bug in the package or you’d like to request a feature. Thanks so much for checking out the package!
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