Moving Epidemic Method R Package

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Description

This package creates the model described in the Moving Epidemics Method (MEM), used to monitor influenza activity during the seasonal surveillance.

Details

Package: mem
Type: Package
Title: Moving Epidemics Method R Package.
Version: 1.4
Date: 2014-07-10
Author: Jose E. Lozano Alonso <lozalojo@jcyl.es>
Maintainer: Jose E. Lozano Alonso <lozalojo@jcyl.es>
Depends: R (>= 3.1.0)
Description: Modelization of influenza epidemics in order to monitor future activity.
License: GPL (>= 2)

Functions to calculate the optimal timing of the epidemic and a threshold to give an early alert of the upcoming epidemic.

Author(s)

Jose E. Lozano Alonso <lozalojo@jcyl.es>.

References

Vega T., Lozano J.E. (2004) Modelling influenza epidemic - can we detect the beginning and predict the intensity and duration? International Congress Series 1263 (2004) 281-283.
Vega T., Lozano J.E. (2012) Influenza surveillance in Europe: establishing epidemic thresholds by the Moving Epidemic Method. Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses, DOI:10.1111/j.1750-2659.2012.00422.x.

Examples

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## Castilla y Leon Influenza Rates data 
data(flucyl)
## Optimal timing of an epidemic
tim<-epitiming(flucyl[1])
print(tim)
summary(tim)
plot(tim)
## Threshold calculation
epi<-epimem(flucyl)
print(epi)
summary(epi)
plot(epi)
## Intensity thresholds
intensity<-memintensity(flucyl)
intensity
## Trend parameters
trend<-memtrend(flucyl)
trend