knitr::opts_chunk$set( collapse = TRUE, comment = "#>", fig.width = 6, fig.height = 4, out.width = "90%" )
library(optedr)
In non-linear regression the information that an experiment provides about the model parameters depends on where observations are taken, not just how many. The Fisher information matrix at a design point $x$ is
$$M(\xi) = \int f(x)\, f(x)^{\top} \, \xi(dx),$$
where $f(x) = \nabla_\theta \mu(x, \theta)$ is the gradient of the mean response. Different optimality criteria summarise $M(\xi)$ into a single number to minimise:
| Criterion | Objective | Key argument |
|-----------|-----------|-------------|
| D-Optimality | $-\log\det M$ | — |
| Ds-Optimality | focuses on a subset of parameters | par_int |
| A-Optimality | $\operatorname{tr} M^{-1}$ | — |
| I-Optimality | integrated prediction variance over a region | reg_int |
| L-Optimality | $\operatorname{tr}(B \, M^{-1})$ for user-supplied $B$ | matB |
All are computed with opt_des(), which implements the cocktail algorithm (Yu, 2011).
The Antoine equation models vapour pressure as a function of temperature. With two parameters and one design variable the D-optimal design has exactly two support points.
result_D <- opt_des( criterion = "D-Optimality", model = y ~ a * exp(-b / x), parameters = c("a", "b"), par_values = c(1, 1500), design_space = c(212, 422) ) result_D
plot() shows the sensitivity function $d(x, \xi)$. By the Equivalence Theorem the design is optimal if and only if $d(x, \xi) \leq k$ everywhere, with equality at every support point.
plot(result_D)
summary() gives a fuller breakdown including the criterion value and convergence diagnostics.
summary(result_D)
The $atwood component reports the Atwood criterion (percentage deviation from the theoretical optimum bound): values close to 100 % confirm convergence.
par_int selects the indices of the parameters of interest. Here we focus only on th0:
result_Ds <- opt_des( criterion = "Ds-Optimality", model = y ~ th0 * exp(x / th1), parameters = c("th0", "th1"), par_values = c(10.4963, -3.2940), design_space = c(0.94, 30), par_int = c(1) ) result_Ds
Minimises the average variance of the parameter estimators:
result_A <- opt_des( criterion = "A-Optimality", model = y ~ a * exp(-b / x), parameters = c("a", "b"), par_values = c(1, 1500), design_space = c(212, 422) ) result_A
Minimises the integrated prediction variance over a region of interest reg_int. Useful when prediction in a specific sub-range matters more than global estimation:
result_I <- opt_des( criterion = "I-Optimality", model = y ~ a * exp(-b / x), parameters = c("a", "b"), par_values = c(1, 1500), design_space = c(212, 422), reg_int = c(380, 422) ) result_I
matB is a symmetric positive-semidefinite $k \times k$ matrix that selects which variances to minimise. Setting matB = diag(c(1, 0)) focuses entirely on the variance of a:
result_L <- opt_des( criterion = "L-Optimality", model = y ~ a * exp(-b / x), parameters = c("a", "b"), par_values = c(1, 1500), design_space = c(212, 422), matB = diag(c(1, 0)) ) result_L
Comparing D- and L-optimal designs shows how the support points shift when precision is concentrated on one parameter:
cat("D-optimal support:\n"); print(result_D$optdes) cat("L-optimal support:\n"); print(result_L$optdes)
For models with two or more design variables pass design_space as a named list. Variable names in the list must match those used in model.
Enzyme kinetics with two substrates: $\mu = V_{\max} x_1 x_2 / [(K_1 + x_1)(K_2 + x_2)]$.
result_2D <- opt_des( criterion = "D-Optimality", model = y ~ Vmax * x1 * x2 / ((K1 + x1) * (K2 + x2)), parameters = c("Vmax", "K1", "K2"), par_values = c(1, 1, 1), design_space = list(x1 = c(0.1, 10), x2 = c(0.1, 10)) ) result_2D
plot() for a two-factor model returns a viridis heatmap of the sensitivity function, with the support points overlaid in red:
plot(result_2D)
L-Optimality extends naturally to multi-dimensional spaces. Here we minimise only the variance of $K_1$:
result_2D_L <- opt_des( criterion = "L-Optimality", model = y ~ Vmax * x1 * x2 / ((K1 + x1) * (K2 + x2)), parameters = c("Vmax", "K1", "K2"), par_values = c(1, 1, 1), design_space = list(x1 = c(0.1, 10), x2 = c(0.1, 10)), matB = diag(c(0, 1, 0)) ) result_2D_L
For $d \geq 3$ factors plot() switches to a scatter-matrix with $\binom{d}{2}$ panels, one per pair of variables. Point size is proportional to weight.
result_3D <- opt_des( criterion = "D-Optimality", model = y ~ Vmax * x1 * x2 * x3 / ((K1+x1) * (K2+x2) * (K3+x3)), parameters = c("Vmax", "K1", "K2", "K3"), par_values = c(1, 1, 1, 1), design_space = list(x1 = c(0.1, 10), x2 = c(0.1, 10), x3 = c(0.1, 10)) ) result_3D plot(result_3D)
Sometimes no single criterion captures the experimental goals. criterion = "Compound" combines any set of criteria as a weighted sum of their sensitivity functions. Weights are normalised automatically.
result_DI <- opt_des( criterion = "Compound", model = y ~ 10^(a - b / (c + x)), parameters = c("a", "b", "c"), par_values = c(8.07131, 1730.63, 233.426), design_space = c(1, 100), compound = list( list(criterion = "D-Optimality", weight = 0.7), list(criterion = "I-Optimality", weight = 0.3, reg_int = c(60, 100)) ) ) result_DI
Comparing with the pure D-optimal design shows how the composite shifts one support point toward the prediction region:
result_D_ant <- opt_des( "D-Optimality", y ~ 10^(a - b / (c + x)), c("a", "b", "c"), c(8.07131, 1730.63, 233.426), c(1, 100) ) cat("D-optimal:\n"); print(result_D_ant$optdes) cat("Compound D+I (70/30):\n"); print(result_DI$optdes)
design_efficiency() measures the fraction of the optimal information that a given design achieves: an efficiency of 0.80 means the design needs $1/0.8 = 1.25\times$ more observations to match the optimal.
design_ad_hoc <- data.frame( Point = c(220, 300, 400), Weight = c(1/3, 1/3, 1/3) ) eff <- design_efficiency(design_ad_hoc, result_D) cat("Efficiency of ad-hoc design:", round(eff * 100, 2), "%\n")
For multi-dimensional designs pass a data frame with one column per factor plus a Weight column:
corners_2d <- data.frame( x1 = c(0.1, 10, 0.1, 10), x2 = c(0.1, 0.1, 10, 10), Weight = rep(0.25, 4) ) eff_2d <- design_efficiency(corners_2d, result_2D) cat("Efficiency of corner design vs 2D D-optimal:", round(eff_2d * 100, 2), "%\n")
Optimal designs assign continuous weights. Two functions convert them to integer replication counts for a given total $n$.
efficient_round()Uses the multiplier $n - l/2$ (where $l$ is the number of support points) and adjusts to guarantee the total is exactly $n$:
exact_design <- efficient_round(result_D$optdes, n = 20) print(exact_design) cat("Total observations:", sum(exact_design$Weight), "\n")
combinatorial_round()Exhaustive floor/ceiling search: optimal for small $k$ (number of support points) since it checks all $2^k$ combinations. Pass the optdes object so the function can use the criterion value for comparison:
combo_design <- combinatorial_round(result_D, n = 10) print(combo_design)
Once rounded, compare the exact design's efficiency against the approximate optimum:
approx <- exact_design approx$Weight <- approx$Weight / sum(approx$Weight) cat("Efficiency of rounded design:", round(design_efficiency(approx, result_D) * 100, 2), "%\n")
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