pltesim: Simulate Probabilistic Long-Term Effects in Models with Temporal Dependence

Calculates and depicts probabilistic long-term effects in binary models with temporal dependence variables. The package performs two tasks. First, it calculates the change in the probability of the event occurring given a change in a theoretical variable. Second, it calculates the rolling difference in the future probability of the event for two scenarios: one where the event occurred at a given time and one where the event does not occur. The package is consistent with the recent movement to depict meaningful and easy-to-interpret quantities of interest with the requisite measures of uncertainty. It is the first to make it easy for researchers to interpret short- and long-term effects of explanatory variables in binary autoregressive models, which can have important implications for the correct interpretation of these models.

Getting started

Package details

AuthorChristopher Gandrud [aut, cre], Laron K. Williams [aut]
MaintainerChristopher Gandrud <>
LicenseGPL (>= 3)
Package repositoryView on CRAN
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pltesim documentation built on May 1, 2019, 7:48 p.m.