get_test_Omega: Generate the covariance matrix Omega for quantile residual...

In uGMAR: Estimate Univariate Gaussian and Student's t Mixture Autoregressive Models

Generate the covariance matrix Omega for quantile residual tests

Description

get_test_Omega generates the covariance matrix Omega used in the quantile residual tests.

Usage

get_test_Omega(
  data,
  p,
  M,
  params,
  model = c("GMAR", "StMAR", "G-StMAR"),
  restricted = FALSE,
  constraints = NULL,
  parametrization = c("intercept", "mean"),
  g,
  dim_g
)

Arguments

data	a numeric vector or class 'ts' object containing the data. NA values are not supported.
p	a positive integer specifying the autoregressive order of the model.
M	For GMAR and StMAR models: a positive integer specifying the number of mixture components. For G-StMAR models: a size (2x1) integer vector specifying the number of GMAR type components M1 in the first element and StMAR type components M2 in the second element. The total number of mixture components is M=M1+M2.
params	a real valued parameter vector specifying the model. For non-restricted models: Size (M(p+3)+M-M1-1x1) vector \theta=(\upsilon_{1},...,\upsilon_{M}, \alpha_{1},...,\alpha_{M-1},\nu) where \upsilon_{m}=(\phi_{m,0},\phi_{m},\sigma_{m}^2) \phi_{m}=(\phi_{m,1},...,\phi_{m,p}), m=1,...,M \nu=(\nu_{M1+1},...,\nu_{M}) M1 is the number of GMAR type regimes. In the GMAR model, M1=M and the parameter \nu dropped. In the StMAR model, M1=0. If the model imposes linear constraints on the autoregressive parameters: Replace the vectors \phi_{m} with the vectors \psi_{m} that satisfy \phi_{m}=C_{m}\psi_{m} (see the argument constraints). For restricted models: Size (3M+M-M1+p-1x1) vector \theta=(\phi_{1,0},...,\phi_{M,0},\phi, \sigma_{1}^2,...,\sigma_{M}^2,\alpha_{1},...,\alpha_{M-1},\nu), where \phi=(\phi_{1},...,\phi_{p}) contains the AR coefficients, which are common for all regimes. If the model imposes linear constraints on the autoregressive parameters: Replace the vector \phi with the vector \psi that satisfies \phi=C\psi (see the argument constraints). Symbol \phi denotes an AR coefficient, \sigma^2 a variance, \alpha a mixing weight, and \nu a degrees of freedom parameter. If parametrization=="mean", just replace each intercept term \phi_{m,0} with the regimewise mean \mu_m = \phi_{m,0}/(1-\sum\phi_{i,m}). In the G-StMAR model, the first M1 components are GMAR type and the rest M2 components are StMAR type. Note that in the case M=1, the mixing weight parameters \alpha are dropped, and in the case of StMAR or G-StMAR model, the degrees of freedom parameters \nu have to be larger than 2.
model	is "GMAR", "StMAR", or "G-StMAR" model considered? In the G-StMAR model, the first M1 components are GMAR type and the rest M2 components are StMAR type.
restricted	a logical argument stating whether the AR coefficients \phi_{m,1},...,\phi_{m,p} are restricted to be the same for all regimes.
constraints	specifies linear constraints imposed to each regime's autoregressive parameters separately. For non-restricted models: a list of size (pxq_{m}) constraint matrices C_{m} of full column rank satisfying \phi_{m}=C_{m}\psi_{m} for all m=1,...,M, where \phi_{m}=(\phi_{m,1},...,\phi_{m,p}) and \psi_{m}=(\psi_{m,1},...,\psi_{m,q_{m}}). For restricted models: a size (pxq) constraint matrix C of full column rank satisfying \phi=C\psi, where \phi=(\phi_{1},...,\phi_{p}) and \psi=\psi_{1},...,\psi_{q}. The symbol \phi denotes an AR coefficient. Note that regardless of any constraints, the autoregressive order is always p for all regimes. Ignore or set to NULL if applying linear constraints is not desired.
parametrization	is the model parametrized with the "intercepts" \phi_{m,0} or "means" \mu_{m} = \phi_{m,0}/(1-\sum\phi_{i,m})?
g	a function specifying the transformation.
dim_g	output dimension of the transformation g.

Details

This function is used for quantile residuals tests in quantile_residual_tests.

Value

Returns size (dim_gxdim_g) covariance matrix Omega.

References

• Galbraith, R., Galbraith, J. 1974. On the inverses of some patterned matrices arising in the theory of stationary time series. Journal of Applied Probability 11, 63-71.

• Kalliovirta L. (2012) Misspecification tests based on quantile residuals. The Econometrics Journal, 15, 358-393.

• Kalliovirta L., Meitz M. and Saikkonen P. 2015. Gaussian Mixture Autoregressive model for univariate time series. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 36(2), 247-266.

• Meitz M., Preve D., Saikkonen P. 2023. A mixture autoregressive model based on Student's t-distribution. Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, 52(2), 499-515.

• Virolainen S. 2022. A mixture autoregressive model based on Gaussian and Student's t-distributions. Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, 26(4) 559-580.

See Also

quantile_residual_tests

uGMAR documentation built on Aug. 19, 2023, 5:10 p.m.