add_4th_probs | R Documentation |
Get various probabilities associated with each option on 4th downs (go for it, kick field goal, punt).
add_4th_probs(df)
df |
A data frame of decisions to be computed for. |
Original data frame Data frame plus the following columns added:
Gain (or loss) in win prob associated with choosing to go for it (percentage points).
Probability of earning a first down if going for it on 4th down.
Win probability in the event of a failed 4th down attempt.
Win probability in the event of a successful 4th down attempt.
Average win probability when going for it on 4th down.
Probability of making field goal.
Win probability in the event of a missed field goal.
Win probability in the event of a made field goal.
Average win probability when attempting field goal.
Average win probability when punting.
play <-
tibble::tibble(
# Game Info
home = "Utah",
away = "BYU",
pos_team = "Utah",
def_pos_team = "BYU",
spread = -7,
over_under = 55,
# Situation Info
half = 2,
period = 3, # Quarter
TimeSecsRem = 900, # Half Seconds Remaining
adj_TimeSecsRem = 900, # Game Seconds Remaining
down = 4,
distance = 4,
yards_to_goal = 40,
pos_score_diff_start = 7,
pos_team_receives_2H_kickoff = 1,
pos_team_timeouts_rem_before = 3,
def_pos_team_timeouts_rem_before = 3
)
cfb4th::add_4th_probs(play)
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