add_4th_probs: Get 4th down decision probabilities

View source: R/wrappers.R

add_4th_probsR Documentation

Get 4th down decision probabilities

Description

Get various probabilities associated with each option on 4th downs (go for it, kick field goal, punt).

Usage

add_4th_probs(df)

Arguments

df

A data frame of decisions to be computed for.

Value

Original data frame Data frame plus the following columns added:

go_boost

Gain (or loss) in win prob associated with choosing to go for it (percentage points).

first_down_prob

Probability of earning a first down if going for it on 4th down.

wp_fail

Win probability in the event of a failed 4th down attempt.

wp_succeed

Win probability in the event of a successful 4th down attempt.

go_wp

Average win probability when going for it on 4th down.

fg_make_prob

Probability of making field goal.

miss_fg_wp

Win probability in the event of a missed field goal.

make_fg_wp

Win probability in the event of a made field goal.

fg_wp

Average win probability when attempting field goal.

punt_wp

Average win probability when punting.

Examples


 play <-
  tibble::tibble(
    # Game Info
    home = "Utah",
    away = "BYU",
    pos_team = "Utah",
    def_pos_team = "BYU",
    spread = -7,
    over_under = 55,

    # Situation Info
    half = 2,
    period = 3, # Quarter
    TimeSecsRem = 900, # Half Seconds Remaining
    adj_TimeSecsRem = 900, # Game Seconds Remaining
    down = 4,
    distance = 4,
    yards_to_goal = 40,
    pos_score_diff_start = 7,

    pos_team_receives_2H_kickoff = 1,
    pos_team_timeouts_rem_before = 3,
    def_pos_team_timeouts_rem_before = 3

  )

 cfb4th::add_4th_probs(play)



Kazink36/cfb4th documentation built on Jan. 25, 2025, 12:19 a.m.