Implements various methods for eliciting a probability distribution for a single parameter from an expert or a group of experts. The expert provides a small number of probability judgements, corresponding to points on his or her cumulative distribution function. A range of parametric distributions can then be fitted and displayed, with feedback provided in the form of fitted probabilities and percentiles. For multiple experts, a weighted linear pool can be calculated. Also includes functions for eliciting beliefs about population distributions, eliciting multivariate distributions using a Gaussian copula, eliciting a Dirichlet distribution, and eliciting distributions for variance parameters in a random effects metaanalysis model. R Shiny apps for most of the methods are included.
Package details 


Author  Jeremy Oakley 
Maintainer  Jeremy Oakley <[email protected]> 
License  GPL2  GPL3 
Version  1.6.0.9000 
URL  https://github.com/OakleyJ/SHELF 
Package repository  View on GitHub 
Installation 
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