have_majority: Do coalitions have a majority

In adibender/coalitions: Bayesian "Now-Cast" Estimation of Event Probabilities in Multi-Party Democracies

Do coalitions have a majority

Description

Do coalitions have a majority

Usage

have_majority(
  seats_tab,
  coalitions = list(c("cdu"), c("cdu", "fdp"), c("cdu", "fdp", "greens"), c("spd"),
    c("spd", "left"), c("spd", "left", "greens")),
  seats_majority = 300L,
  collapse = "_"
)

Arguments

seats_tab	A data frame containing number of seats obtained by a party. Must have columns party and seats.
coalitions	A list of coalitions for which coalition probabilities should be calculated. Each list entry must be a vector of party names. Those names need to correspond to the names in majority_df.
seats_majority	The number of seats needed to obtain majority.
collapse	Character string passed to base::paste.

Examples

library(coalitions)
library(dplyr)
library(purrr)
# get the latest survey for a sample of German federal election polls
surveys <- get_latest(surveys_sample)
# check for majorities of two coalitions
coals <- list(c("cdu", "fdp"),
              c("spd", "left", "greens"))
# only use 100 simulations for a fast runtime
surveys <- surveys %>% mutate(draws = map(survey, draw_from_posterior, nsim = 100),
                              seats = map2(draws, survey, get_seats),
                              majorities = map(seats, have_majority, coalitions = coals))
surveys$majorities

adibender/coalitions documentation built on July 23, 2024, 4:28 p.m.