apply.historical.null: Apply Historical Null

In akeyel/dfmip: Disease Forecast Model Intercomparison Project

Apply Historical Null

Description

Create a null model based on historical cases. This has the advantage of not assuming a specific distribution, but the disadvantage of not interpolating based on a distribution.

Usage

apply.historical.null(train.data, target.year, n.draws, draw.vec)

Arguments

train.data	Training data to be used to calculate the mean values. Must have a location field with locations, and a count field with number of cases.
target.year	The year for the prediction. Included in the output data frame to indicate the target year, but otherwise unused
n.draws	The number of probabilistic draws to include in the data matrix. Retained here only for consistency in formatting with the probabilistic methods.
draw.vec	A vector of column names for the probabilistic draws.

Value

out.df A data frame containing the predictions for each location for the target year

akeyel/dfmip documentation built on Sept. 3, 2022, 1:26 a.m.