Introduction

In the chemical, biogeochemical and ecological models that you have solved thus far, state variables were defined in terms of concentrations (volumetric or areal) or biomass, and the models were formulated through differential equations that describe the rate of change in these state variables as a function of the sinks and sources. In economics, problems can be formulated in a similar way---as differential equations---but here one is interested in the changes in costs and profits. In this exercise, you will implement the model of crops and weeds that you have seen earlier, and expand it to additionally include an economic perspective.

Note that this exercise should be considered as a demonstration of how to give models an economic "touch". It is not meant to be very realistic, or turn you into a millionaire.\footnote{Although if it does, we hope that you will remember how you got there! ;-)} Our choices of the parameters for the P dynamics are very roughly estimated, and the costs assumed in the model may well be totally wrong.

Problem formulation

A farmer wants to optimise his harvest of lettuce. He needs to decide whether to fertilize his land with phosphate once, before planting, or at regular occasions after the lettuce seedlings have been planted, and how much of the fertilizer to add.

The problem he has is that the field of lettuce is invaded by a weed that (i) grows slightly slower than the lettuce, and (ii) has a much deeper root system and a higher affinity for phosphorus than the lettuce. While the roots of lettuce penetrate 7 cm deep into the soil, the weed's roots penetrate down to a depth of 14 cm.

Once the fertilizer is added to the soil, it percolates, due to the rain, from the upper 7 cm to the deeper soil layer, as well as from the deeper soil layer (7--14 cm) to the soil below 14 cm, at a rate of 5% per day.

The farmer also wants to optimize the time of harvesting, so as to have a maximal profit. You will make a bio-economic model to help reach this decision.

The biological part

In one of the previous exercises, you have already devised a conceptual model that could be used to mimic this agriculture (Figure 1).

Diagram of the crop-and-weed model.

To account for the different root lengths of the crop and weed, the soil is subdivided into an upper layer (0--7 cm), where the roots of both plants take up nutrients, and a deeper layer (7--14 cm), where only the weed has access to nutrients. The rain induces a flow of nutrients from the upper layer to the deeper layer, and from the deeper layer to the soil below 14 cm.

Given that phosphorus is the limiting nutrient, the state variables are expressed in areal P concentrations for each layer ($mol~P~m^{-2}$).

The continuous P addition is implemented as a parameter (Paddition) while the fertilization at the start is imposed as the initial condition, i.e., by having a larger concentration of P in the upper soil layer.

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Tasks

First, create suitable rate expressions for the flows of P in the system.

| Name | Value | Description | Unit | | ------------ | ------ | ------------------------------ | --------------------- | | Paddition | 0.9/90 | Rate of P supply to P1 | $mol~P~m^{-2}~d^{-1}$ | | percolation | 0.05 | Dilution by rain | $d^{-1}$ |
| ksCrop | 2e-3 | Monod ct for P uptake by crop | $mol~P~m^{-2}$ | | ksWeed | 0.5e-3 | Monod ct for P uptake by weed | $mol~P~m^{-2}$ | | ktot | 0.3 | Carrying capacity | $mol~P~m^{-2}$ | | rGcrop | 0.125 | Max. growth rate, crop | $d^{-1}$ |
| rGweed | 0.1 | Max. growth rate, weed | $d^{-1}$ |
| rMcrop | 0.0 | Loss rate (mortality) | $d^{-1}$ |
| rMweed | 0.0 | Loss rate (mortality) | $d^{-1}$ |
| N | 25 | Density of crop plants | $ind~m^{-2}$ |
| P2WW | 62000 | Convert P to wet weight | $g~ww~(mol~P)^{-1}$ |

Continuous fertilization

Implement the model with continuous fertilization in R, using the above parameter values. You can start with the R-markdown template model file RTM_0D.Rmd to implement this model.\footnote{You can obtain this file from Rstudio: File $\rightarrow$ new File $\rightarrow$ Rmarkdown $\rightarrow$ from template $\rightarrow$ RTM_0D. Save this file under a different name. Do not forget to change the heading of this file.}

One-time fertilization

An alternative culturing method is to fertilise the upper layer of the soil before planting the crops, so that P does not need to be administered continuously. Here, assume that the amount of P initially added to the top soil is the same as the accumulated amount of P added to the system during the continuous fertilization over 90 days in the previous scenario.

Model comparison

Compare results from both scenarios and discuss the following aspects:

The economic part

Now we take into account the cost of this agriculture and the profit that the farmer can make (if any).

Assumtions

Use the following assumptions for costs:

The eventual profits are determined as follows:

Tasks

Assuming that your model parameters are realistic, discuss the following aspects:



dynamic-R/RTM documentation built on Feb. 28, 2025, 1:23 p.m.