inst/report/report.md

output: html_document

Epipredictr

Models

Three models are fit: 1. Simple windowed linear regression 2. BSTS with global trend 3. BSTS with local trend

Model Fit

Prior vs. Posterior Distributions

BSTS model global trend

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BSTS model local trend

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Forecasts

Table with forecasts

Plots

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Scoring of Forecasts

##           mean        sd
## CRPS 0.5227991 0.5363262
## logs 2.9566401 3.6206817
##           mean        sd
## CRPS 0.2754406 0.2039380
## logs 0.6693461 0.7527948
##           mean        sd
## CRPS 0.3613821 0.3315153
## logs 0.8462064 0.7746215


nikosbosse/epipredictr documentation built on April 7, 2020, 9:51 p.m.