twostg3 | R Documentation |
For a phase II study with three possible ordered outcomes (e.g., response, stable, progression), computes the probability of not rejecting the null hypothesis for a specified two-stage design.
twostg3(n1, n2, presp, pstab, r1, s1, r2, s2)
n1 |
Number of subjects enrolled in the first stage |
n2 |
Number of additional subjects enrolled in the second stage |
presp |
The probability of the best (response) category |
pstab |
The probability of the intermediate (stable only) category |
r1 |
Max number of responses that can occur at the first stage without proceeding to the second stage |
s1 |
Max number cases that can have responses or stable outcomes at first stage without proceeding to the second stage |
r2 |
Max number of responses from stages 1 and 2 combined that can be observed without declaring the treatment to be effective |
s2 |
Max number of cases from stages 1 and 2 combined that can have responses or stable outcomes without declaring the treatment to be effective |
Consider a phase II study with an ordered categorical outcome with three categories, which are referred to here as response, stable and progression (based on the best response outcome in oncology). A treatment might improve outcome by either improving the response rate or by improving the disease stabilization rate (where stabilization includes best response of response or stable). In the designs considered here, the treatment is declared to be active (or sufficiently active to be worth studying further) if it shows a sufficient level of activity for either response or disease stabilization.
More formally, let R1
be the number of patients observed to respond
and S1
be the number of patients observed to be stable (but not
responses) during the first stage of accrual, and similarly let R2
and S2
be the number of additional cases observed to respond or
stabilize from the second stage. The study is stopped after the first stage
if BOTH R1 <= r1
and R1+S1 <= s1
. The study proceeds to the
second stage if either R1 > r1
or R1+S1 > s1
. The treatment
is declared to be inactive if either the study stops after the first stage
or if at the end of the second stage BOTH R1+R2 <= r2
and
R1+R2+S1+S2 <= s2
. The treatment is considered sufficiently active
for further investigation if either R1+R2 > r2
or R1+R2+S1+S2 >
s2
.
Note that presp
and pstab
are the probabilities of the
corresponding disjoint cells in the trinomial model (that is, pstab
is the probability that a case will be stable but not a response).
A vector giving the probability of stopping after the first stage
(p.stop.1
) and the overall probability that the treatment is declared
inactive (p.inactive
).
twostg
twostg3(20, 40, 0.05, 0.10, 1, 3, 5, 22)
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