data-raw/womens-world-cup-predictions/README.md

In rudeboybert/fivethirtyeight: Data and Code Behind the Stories and Interactives at 'FiveThirtyEight'

2015 Women's World Cup Tournament Predictions

FiveThirtyEight's forecasts for the 2015 World Cup, including each team's WSPI rating and chance of advancing, updated throughout the course of the tournment. The date and time of each update are indicated in the file names. All times are in EDT.

Overall forecasts

Overall forecasts are stored in files named like wwc-forecast-YYYYMMDD-HHMMSS.csv.

Header | Definition ---|--------- wspi | Women's Soccer Power Index wspi_offense | Women's Soccer Power Index offensive rating wspi_defense | Women's Soccer Power Index defensive rating group_first | Chance of coming in first place in the group stage group_second | Chance of coming in second place in the group stage group_third_advance | Chance of coming in third place in the group stage and advancing to the knockout stage group_third_no_advance | Chance of coming in third place in the group stage but not advancing to the knockout stage group_fourth | Chance of coming in fourth place in the group stage sixteen | Chance of advancing to the knockout stage quarter | Chance of advancing to the quarter finals semi | Chance of advancing to the semi-finals cup | Chance of making it to the final game win | Chance of winning the whole thing

Note: These probabilities are based on 20,000 simulations. A win probability of 0.0 doesn't necessarily mean that a team has a zero percent chance of winning the tournament -- it means that the team did not win the tournament in any of the 20,000 simulations.

Match probabilities

Individual match probabilities are stored in files named like wwc-matches-YYYYMMDD-HHMMSS.csv.

Header | Definition ---|--------- team1_win | The probability that team1 will beat team2 team2_win | The probability that team2 will beat team1 tie | The probability the game will end in a tie

For the Women's World Cup predictions interactive, click here.

For an explanation of WSPI, click here.

rudeboybert/fivethirtyeight documentation built on Jan. 1, 2023, 10:17 p.m.