Description Usage Arguments Details Value Author(s) References
Bias in probabilistic forecasts
1 | bias(obs, pred)
|
obs |
observed vector T X 1 |
pred |
Simulated predictions T X N. Each column is a simulation. |
Bias is measured as
2 * mean((heaviside(obs - pred)) - 0.5)
where heaviside returns 1 if the arg is positive, 0 if this negative and 0.5 if it is 0. The average is taken over all simulations.
vector of length T.
Sangeeta Bhatia
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006785
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