in_match_win: Conditional Match Win Prediction

In skoval/deuce: Resources for Analysis of Professional Tennis Data

Conditional Match Win Prediction

Description

This function calculates the conditional match win prediction for matches in progress conditioned on the current score

Usage

in_match_win(point_a, point_b, game_a, game_b, set_a, set_b, server.prob,
  returner.prob, bestof3 = TRUE, advantage = TRUE)

Arguments

point_a	Numeric game points won by current server at start of point
point_b	Numeric game points won by current returner at start of point
game_a	Numeric games won by current server in the current set
game_b	Numeric games won by current returner in the current set
set_a	Numeric sets won by current server
set_b	Numeric sets won by current returner
server.prob	Numeric serve win prob of current server
returner.prob	Numeric serve win prob of current returner
bestof3	Logical indicator if best-of-3 match (TRUE) or best-of-5 (FALSE)
advantage	Logical if advantage set match (TRUE) or tiebreak match (FALSE)

Value

Numeric probability that current server will win the match

References

Barnett, T. (2013). Teaching probability theory through tennis. Strategic Games.

Examples

in_match_win(3, 2, 5, 5, 0, 0, 0.65, 0.63, bestof3 = T, advantage = F)
in_match_win(2, 3, 5, 5, 0, 1, 0.65, 0.63, bestof3 = T, advantage = F)

skoval/deuce documentation built on March 7, 2023, 2:39 p.m.