Breaks For Additive Season and Trend (BFAST)

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Description

BFAST integrates the decomposition of time series into trend, seasonal, and remainder components with methods for detecting and characterizing abrupt changes within the trend and seasonal components. BFAST can be used to analyze different types of satellite image time series and can be applied to other disciplines dealing with seasonal or non-seasonal time series,such as hydrology, climatology, and econometrics. The algorithm can be extended to label detected changes with information on the parameters of the fitted piecewise linear models.

Additionally monitoring disturbances in BFAST-type models at the end of time series (i.e., in near real-time) is available: Based on a model for stable historical behaviour abnormal changes within newly acquired data can be detected. Different models are available for modeling the stable historical behavior. A season-trend model (with harmonic seasonal pattern) is used as a default in the regresssion modelling.

Details

The package contains:

  • bfast: Main function for iterative decomposition and break detection as described in Verbesselt et al (2010ab).

  • bfastmonitor: Monitoring approach for detecting disturbances in near real-time (see Verbesselt et al. 2011, submitted to Remote Sensing and Environment).

  • bfastpp: Data pre-processing for BFAST-type modeling.

  • Functions for plotting and printing, see bfast.

  • simts: Artificial example data set.

  • harvest: NDVI time series of a P. radiata plantation that is harvested.

  • som: NDVI time series of locations in the south of Somalia to illustrate the near real-time disturbance approach

Author(s)

Jan Verbesselt [aut, cre], Achim Zeileis [aut], Rob Hyndman [ctb], Rogier De Jong [ctb]

References

Verbesselt J, Zeileis A, Herold M (2012). Near real-time disturbance detection using satellite image time series. Remote Sensing of Environment, 123, 98–108. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2012.02.022

Verbesselt J, Hyndman R, Newnham G, Culvenor D (2010). Detecting Trend and Seasonal Changes in Satellite Image Time Series. Remote Sensing of Environment, 114(1), 106–115. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2009.08.014

Verbesselt J, Hyndman R, Zeileis A, Culvenor D (2010). Phenological Change Detection while Accounting for Abrupt and Gradual Trends in Satellite Image Time Series. Remote Sensing of Environment, 114(12), 2970–2980. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2010.08.003