Nonparametric (worst-case and IV) Manski's bounds

Description

mb can be used to calculate the (worst-case and IV) Manski's bounds and confidence interval covering the true effect of interest with a fixed probability.

Usage

1
mb(treat, outc, IV = NULL, Model, B = 100, sig.lev = 0.05)

Arguments

treat

Binary treatment/selection variable.

outc

Binary outcome variable.

IV

An instrumental binary variable can be used if available.

Model

Possible values are "B" (model with endogenous variable) and "BSS" (model with non-random sample selection).

B

Number of bootstrap replicates. This is used to obtain some components needed for confidence interval calculations.

sig.lev

Significance level.

Details

Based on Manski (1990), this function returns the nonparametric lower and upper (worst-case) Manski's bounds for the average treatment effect (ATE) when Model = "B" or prevalence when Model = "BSS". When an IV is employed the function returns IV Manski bounds.

For comparison, it also returns the estimated effect assuming random assignment (i.e., the treatment received or selection relies on the assumption of ignorable observed and unobserved selection). Note that this is equivalent to what provided by AT or prev when type = "naive", and is different from what obtained by AT or prev when type = "univariate" as observed confounders are accounted for and the assumption here is of ignorable unobserved selection.

A confidence interval covering the true ATE/prevalence with a fixed probability is also provided. This is based on the approach described in Imbens and Manski (2004). NOTE that this interval is typically very close (if not identical) to the lower and upper bounds.

The ATE can be at most 1 (or 100 in percentage) and the worst-case Manski's bounds have width 1. This means that 0 is always included within the possibilites of these bounds. Nevertheless, this may be useful to check whether the effect from a bivariate recursive model is included within the possibilites of the bounds.

When estimating a prevalance the worst-case Manski's bounds have width equal to the non-response probability, which provides a measure of the uncertainty about the prevalence caused by non-response. Again, this may be useful to check whether the prevalence from a bivariate non-random sample selection model is included within the possibilites of the bounds.

See SemiParBIVProbit for some examples.

Value

LB, UP

Lower and upper bounds for the true effect of interest.

CI

Confidence interval covering the true effect of interest with a fixed probability.

ate.ra

Estimated effect of interest assuming random assignment.

Author(s)

Maintainer: Giampiero Marra giampiero.marra@ucl.ac.uk

References

Manski C.F. (1990), Nonparametric Bounds on Treatment Effects. American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings, 80(2), 319-323.

Imbens G.W. and Manski C.F (2004), Confidence Intervals for Partially Identified Parameters. Econometrica, 72(6), 1845-1857.

See Also

SemiParBIVProbit

Examples

1
## see examples for SemiParBIVProbit

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