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#' Probability of exceed a predefined temperature value
#'
#' @description Calculates the first day in the year where the probability of temperature over a threshold is higher than a predefined threshold.
#' @param mx vector of daily (usually maximum) temperature series.
#' @param dates vector of dates corresponding with daily temprature series
#' @param thres temperature threshold considered to trigger occurrence.
#' @param month integer between 1 and 12 indicating the month to compute the probability.
#' @return A numeric vector with annual values is returned.
#' @examples
#'
#' tempProb(mx = daily_tmax,
#' dates = seq.Date(as.Date('1981-01-01'),
#' as.Date('2010-12-31'), by ='day'),
#' thres = 20,
#' month = NULL)
#'
#'
#' @export
tempProb <- function(mx, dates, thres = 20, month = NULL) {
if(!as.numeric(thres)){
stop("'thres' must be a numeric value")
}
x <- zoo(mx, dates)
if(is.null(month)){
p <- round(pnorm(thres, mean(x), sd(x), lower.tail = FALSE), 2)
} else if(as.numeric(month)){
if(month >=1 & month <= 12){
w <- which(as.numeric(format(time(x), '%m')) == month)
p <- round(pnorm(thres, mean(x[w]), sd(x[w]), lower.tail = FALSE), 2)
} else{
stop("'month' must be an integer between 1 and 12")
}
} else {
stop("'month' must be an integer between 1 and 12")
}
return(p)
}
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