Bayesian "Now-Cast" Estimation of Event Probabilities in Multi-Party Democracies

as_survey | Creates basic survey table from votes in percent |

calculate_prob | Calculate coalition probability from majority table |

calculate_probs | Calculate coalition probabilities for multiple coalitions |

collapse_parties | Transform surveys in long format |

dHondt | Seat Distribution by D'Hondt |

draw_from_posterior | Draw random numbers from posterior distribution |

effective_samplesize | Calculate the effective sample size |

extract_num | Extract numerics from string or character |

filter_superior | Remove rows from table for which superior coalitions are... |

get_eligible | Extract surveys from institutes within a specified... |

get_entryprobability | Get probabilities to enter the parliament. |

get_meta | Extract "meta" information from survey data base |

get_n | Total number of survey participants from surveys eligible for... |

get_pooled | Extract effective sample size for pooled sample |

get_probabilities | Wrapper for calculation of coalition probabilities from... |

get_seats | Calculate seat distribution from draws from posterior |

get_superior | Extract superior coalitions from coalition string or vector |

get_surveys | Scrape surveys from all pollsters |

gg_survey | Plot voter shares observed in one survey |

hare_niemeyer | Seat Distribution by Hare/Niemeyer |

has_majority | Does a coalition have a majority |

have_majority | Do coalitions have a majority |

party_colors_de | Colors for German parties |

party_labels_de | Labels for German parties |

paste_coalitions | Transform list of coalitions to vector by combining party... |

pipe | Pipe operator |

pool_austria | Pool surveys from different pollsters |

pool_surveys | Obtain pooled survey during specified period |

prettify | Replace/prettify matching words/terms in one vector by... |

redistribute | Calculate percentage of votes/seats after excluding parties... |

sanitize_colnames | Sanitize column names |

sanitize_strings | Sanitize character vector |

scrape | Scrape surveys for German general election |

scrape_austria | Import Austrian survey results |

sls | Seat Distribution by Sainte-Lague/Schepers |

surveys_sample | Sample of selected surveys |

try_readHTML | Try call of read_html that throws an error if the url cannot... |

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