A dataset containing ESPN's win probability estimates from the last minute of the NCAA football 2016 and 2017 seasons. The time stamps are not perfect, rather the probability that occured closest to the time stamp was recorded from each game. The eventual result of the game is also included in the dataset along with what year it came from.
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A data frame with 10314 rows and 4 variables:
ESPN's win probability estimate.
The eventual result of the game (if the home team won or not.)
The amount of time left in the 4th quarter of the game when p.tilde was estimated.
The year / season the probability was referring to.
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