irm_h: Age-Independent Instantaneous Rates Tag Return Model of...

In fishmethods: Fishery Science Methods and Models

Age-Independent Instantaneous Rates Tag Return Model of Hoenig et al. (1998)

Description

The age-independent instantaneous rates model of Hoenig et al. (1998) for estimating fishing and natural mortality from tag returns of harvested fish is implemented assuming known values of initial tag survival (phi) and reporting rate (lambda)

Usage

irm_h(relyrs = NULL, recapyrs = NULL, N = NULL, recapharv = NULL,
lambda = NULL,phi = NULL, Fyr = NULL, Myr = NULL, initial = NULL,
lower = c(0.0001,0.0001),upper = c(5,5), maxiter = 10000)

Arguments

relyrs	vector containing the start and end year of the entire release period (e.g., c(1992, 2006)).
recapyrs	vector containing the start year and end year of entire recapture period (e.g., c(1992, 2008)).
N	vector of total number of tagged fish released in each release year (one value per year).
recapharv	matrix of the number of tag recoveries of harvested fish by release year (row) and recovery year (column). The lower triangle (blank cells) may be filled with -1s as place holders. Missing values in the upper triangle (release/recovery cells) are not allowed.
lambda	vector of reporting rate estimates for harvested fish. One value for each recovery year.
phi	vector of initial tag survival estimates (phi) for harvested fish. One value for each recovery year. 1=no loss
Fyr	vector of year values representing the beginning year of a period over which to estimate a constant fishing mortality rate (F). If estimation of F for each recovery year is desired, enter the year value for each year. The first year value must be the start year for the recovery period.
Myr	vector of year values representing the beginning year of a period over which to estimate a constant natural mortality rate (M). If estimation of M for each recovery year is desired, enter the year value for each year. The first year value must be the start year for the recovery period.
initial	vector of starting values for fishing, and natural mortality estimates. First position is the starting value for all Fs and second position is the starting value for all Ms (e.g., c(0.1,0.2)).
lower	vector of lower bounds of F and M estimates used in optimization routine. First position is the lower value for all Fs and second position is the lower value for all Ms. Default = 0.0001.
upper	vector of upper bounds of F and M estimates used in optimization routine. First position is the upper value for all Fs and second position is the upper value for all Ms. Default = 5
maxiter	maximum number iterations used in the optimization routine.

Details

The instantaneous tag return model of Hoening et al. (1998) assuming known initial tag loss and reporting rates is implemented. This model assumes that tagged fish are fully-recruited to the fishery and that fishing took place throughout the year. The observed recovery matrices are compared to expected recovery matrices to estimate model parameters. Asymmetric recovery matrices are allowed (recovery years > release years). All summary statistics follow Burnham and Anderson (2002). Model degrees of freedom are calculated as the number of all cells from the harvested recovery matrix and not-seen vector minus the number of estimated parameters. Total chi-square is calculated by summing cell chi-square values for all cells of the harvest, released, and not seen matrices. C-hat, a measure of overdispersion, is estimated by dividing the total chi-square value by the model degrees of freedom. Pooling of cells to achieve an expected cell value of 1 is performed and pooled chi-square and c-hat metrics are additionally calculated. Pearson residuals are calculated by subtracting the observed numbers of recoveries in each cell from the predicted numbers of recoveries and dividing each cell by the square-root of the predicted cell value. The optim routine is used to find the parameters that minimize the -1*negative log-likelihood. The variance of instantaneous total mortality (Z) is calculated by varF + varM + 2cov(F,M), and the variance of survival (S) is estimated from the variance of Z using the delta method.

The program allows the configuration of different model structures (biological realistic models) for the estimation of fishing and natural mortalities. Consider the following examples:

Example 1

Release years range from 1991 to 2003 and recovery years from 1991 to 2003. One model structure might be constant fishing mortality estimates over the recovery years of 1991-1994 and 1995-2003, and one constant estimate of natural mortality for the entire recovery period. To specify this model structure, the beginning year of each interval is assigned to the Fyr vector (e.g.,Fyr<-c(1991, 1995)), and the beginning year of the recovery period is assigned to the Myr vector (e.g.,Myr<-c(1991)). The first value of each vector must always be the beginning year of the recovery period regardless of the model structure.

Example 2

Release years range from 1991 to 2003 and recovery years from 1991 to 2003. One model might be fishing mortality estimates for each year of recovery years and two constant estimates of natural mortality for 1991-1996 and 1997-2003. To specify this model structure, one value for each year is assigned to the Fyr vector (e.g., Fyr<-c(1991,1992, 1993, 1994, 1995, 1996, 1997, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003) and the beginning years of the natural mortality intervals are assigned to the Myr vector (e.g.,Myr<-c(1991, 1997)).

Averaging of model results can be accomplished using the function tag_model_avg.

Value

List containing summary statistics for the model fit, model convergence status, parameter correlation matrix, estimates of fishing mortality, natural mortality, total instantaneous mortality (Z), and survival (S) and their variances and standard errors by year, observed and predicted recoveries for harvested, released, and "not-seen" fish, cell chi-square and Pearson values for harvested, released, and "not seen" fish and a model configuration label (type) used in the tag_model_avg function.

Author(s)

Gary A. Nelson, Massachusetts Division of Marine Fisheries [e-mail]

References

Burnham, K. P. and D. R. Anderson. 2002. Model selection and multimodel inference : A Practical Information-Theorectic Approach, 2nd edition. Spriner-Verlag, New York, NY. 488 p.

Hoenig, J. M, N. J. Barrowman, W. S. Hearn, and K. H. Pollock. 1998. Multiyear tagging studies incorporating fishing effort data. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 55: 1466-1476.

See Also

irm_cr tag_model_avg

Examples

# Data come from Table 4 and model structure from Table 5 under "year-specific F, 
# constant M" in Hoenig et al. (1998)  
data(Hoenig)
model1<-irm_h(relyrs = Hoenig$relyrs, recapyrs = Hoenig$recapyrs, 
N = Hoenig$N, recapharv = Hoenig$recapharv,lambda = Hoenig$lambda,
phi = Hoenig$phi, Fyr = Hoenig$Fyr, Myr = Hoenig$Myr, initial = c(0.1,0.1), 
lower = c(0.0001,0.0001),upper = c(5,5), maxiter = 10000)

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