Description Details Author(s) References

`phcfM`

is an R package for modelling anthropogenic
deforestation. It was initially developed to obtain REDD baseline
scenarios of deforestation for the "programme holistique de conservation
des forets a Madagascar" (from which the package is named after). It
includes two main functions: (i) `demography()`

, to model the
population growth with time using population census data and Gaussian
mixed linear regressions and (ii) `deforestation()`

, to model the
deforestation process using land-cover change data and Binary logistic
regressions with variable time-intervals between land-cover
observations. Parameter inference is done in a hierarchical Bayesian
framework. Markov chains Monte Carlo (MCMC) are coded in C++ using the
Scythe statistical library to maximize computation efficiency.

Package: | phcfM |

Type: | Package |

Version: | 1.1 |

Date: | 2012-06-13 |

License: | GPL-3 |

LazyLoad: | yes |

Ghislain Vieilledent <ghislain.vieilledent@cirad.fr>

Ghislain Vieilledent, Clovis Grinand and Romuald
Vaudry. 2013. Forecasting deforestation and carbon emissions in
tropical developing countries facing demographic expansion: a case
study in Madagascar. *Ecology and Evolution*. DOI:
10.1002/ece3.550

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