phcfM-package: Modelling anthropogenic deforestation in tropical forests

Description Details Author(s) References


phcfM is an R package for modelling anthropogenic deforestation. It was initially developed to obtain REDD baseline scenarios of deforestation for the "programme holistique de conservation des forets a Madagascar" (from which the package is named after). It includes two main functions: (i) demography(), to model the population growth with time using population census data and Gaussian mixed linear regressions and (ii) deforestation(), to model the deforestation process using land-cover change data and Binary logistic regressions with variable time-intervals between land-cover observations. Parameter inference is done in a hierarchical Bayesian framework. Markov chains Monte Carlo (MCMC) are coded in C++ using the Scythe statistical library to maximize computation efficiency.


Package: phcfM
Type: Package
Version: 1.1
Date: 2012-06-13
License: GPL-3
LazyLoad: yes


Ghislain Vieilledent <>


Ghislain Vieilledent, Clovis Grinand and Romuald Vaudry. 2013. Forecasting deforestation and carbon emissions in tropical developing countries facing demographic expansion: a case study in Madagascar. Ecology and Evolution. DOI: 10.1002/ece3.550

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