ugarchsim-methods: function: Univariate GARCH Simulation

In rugarch: Univariate GARCH Models

function: Univariate GARCH Simulation

Description

Method for simulation from a variety of univariate GARCH models.

Usage

ugarchsim(fit, n.sim = 1000, n.start = 0, m.sim = 1, 
startMethod = c("unconditional", "sample"), presigma = NA, prereturns = NA, 
preresiduals = NA, rseed = NA, custom.dist = list(name = NA, distfit = NA), 
mexsimdata = NULL, vexsimdata = NULL, ...)

Arguments

fit	A univariate GARCH fit object of class uGARCHfit.
n.sim	The simulation horizon.
n.start	The burn-in sample.
m.sim	The number of simulations.
startMethod	Starting values for the simulation. Valid methods are “unconditional” for the expected values given the density, and “sample” for the ending values of the actual data from the fit object.
presigma	Allows the starting sigma values to be provided by the user.
prereturns	Allows the starting return data to be provided by the user.
preresiduals	Allows the starting residuals to be provided by the user.
rseed	Optional seeding value(s) for the random number generator. For m.sim>1, it is possible to provide either a single seed to initialize all values, or one seed per separate simulation (i.e. m.sim seeds). However, in the latter case this may result in some slight overhead depending on how large m.sim is. It is now recommended not to provide a value (i.e., keep the default of rseed == NA) and to call set.seed only once in the beginning of the session, which will ensure reproducibility.
custom.dist	Optional density with fitted object from which to simulate. See notes below for details.
mexsimdata	List of matrices (size of list m.sim, with each matrix having n.sim rows) of simulated external regressor-in-mean data. If the fit object contains external regressors in the mean equation, this must be provided else will be assumed zero.
vexsimdata	List of matrices (size of list m.sim, with each matrix having n.sim rows) of simulated external regressor-in-variance data. If the fit object contains external regressors in the mean equation, this must be provided else will be assumed zero.
...	For the multiplicative component sGARCH model (mcsGARCH), the additional argument ‘DailyVar’ is required and should be an xts object of length floor(n.sim/increments-per-day) by m.sim of the the daily simulated variance to use with the intraday data. In the case of the realized GARCH (realGARCH) model, the optional argument ‘prerealized’ allows to pass starting values of the realized volatility (should be of length q as was set in the ‘garchOrder(q,p)’ in the specification)

Details

The custom.dist option allows for defining a custom density which exists in the users workspace with methods for “r” (sampling, e.g. rnorm) and “d” (density e.g. dnorm). It must take a single fit object as its second argument. Alternatively, custom.dist can take any name in the name slot (e.g.“sample”) and a matrix in the fit slot with dimensions equal to m.sim (columns) and n.sim (rows). It is understood that what is supplied are the standardized (0,1) innovations and not the unstandardized residuals. The usefulness of this becomes apparent when one is considering the copula-GARCH approach or the bootstrap method.

Value

A uGARCHsim object containing details of the GARCH simulation.

Author(s)

Alexios Ghalanos

See Also

For specification ugarchspec, fitting ugarchfit, filtering ugarchfilter, forecasting ugarchforecast, rolling forecast and estimation ugarchroll, parameter distribution and uncertainty ugarchdistribution, bootstrap forecast ugarchboot.

Examples

## Not run: 
# Basic GARCH(1,1) Spec
data(dmbp)
spec = ugarchspec()
fit = ugarchfit(data = dmbp[,1], spec = spec)
sim = ugarchsim(fit,n.sim=1000, n.start=1, m.sim=1, startMethod="sample")
sim
head(sigma(sim))

## End(Not run)

rugarch documentation built on Sept. 30, 2024, 9:30 a.m.