The 'Brazil Risk' numbers, published daily by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics from JP Morgan's Emerging Market Bond Index, are a time-series spanning 1994 to the present, and are a great source of data to use for the teaching of time series with R.
The data returned from riscoBrasil()
can be used with a variety of packages and functions. In this example, I'll use facebook's new prophet package.
if(!require(prophet)) install.packages("prophet", repos = "http://cran.us.r-project.org") library(prophet) library(riscoBrasil) series <- riscoBrasil(start = "2002-01-01") colnames(series) <- c("ds", "y") # for prophet to work model <- prophet(series) future <- make_future_dataframe(model, periods = 365) forecast <- predict(model, future) plot(model, forecast)
Interestingly, prophet is prophetising an uptick in Brazil Risk.
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