temporalAtRisk: temporalAtRisk function

Description Usage Arguments Details Value See Also

Description

Generic function used in the construction of temporalAtRisk objects. A temporalAtRisk object describes the at risk population globally in an observation time window [t_1,t_2]. Therefore, for any t in [t_1,t_2], a temporalAtRisk object should be able to return the global at risk population, mu(t) = E(number of cases in the unit time interval containing t). This is in contrast to the class of spatialAtRisk objects, which describe the spatial inhomogeneity in the population at risk, lambda(s).

Usage

1

Arguments

obj

an object

...

additional arguments

Details

Note that in the prediction routine, lgcpPredict, and the simulation routine, lgcpSim, time discretisation is achieved using as.integer on both observation times and time limits t_1 and t_2 (which may be stored as non-integer values). The functions that create temporalAtRisk objects therefore return piecewise cconstant step-functions. that can be evaluated for any real t in [t_1,t_2], but with the restriction that mu(t_i) = mu(t_j) whenever as.integer(t_i)==as.integer(t_j).

A temporalAtRisk object may be (1) 'assumed known', or (2) scaled to a particular dataset. In the latter case, in the routines available (temporalAtRisk.numeric and temporalAtRisk.function), the stppp dataset of interest should be referenced, in which case the scaling of mu(t) will be done automatically. Otherwise, for example for simulation purposes, no scaling of mu(t) occurs, and it is assumed that the mu(t) corresponds to the expected number of cases during the unit time interval containnig t. For reference purposes, the following is a mathematical description of a log-Gaussian Cox Process, it is best viewed in the pdf version of the manual.

Let \mathcal Y(s,t) be a spatiotemporal Gaussian process, W\subset R^2 be an observation window in space and T\subset R_{≥q 0} be an interval of time of interest. Cases occur at spatio-temporal positions (x,t) \in W \times T according to an inhomogeneous spatio-temporal Cox process, i.e. a Poisson process with a stochastic intensity R(x,t), The number of cases, X_{S,[t_1,t_2]}, arising in any S \subseteq W during the interval [t_1,t_2]\subseteq T is then Poisson distributed conditional on R(\cdot),

X_{S,[t_1,t_2]} \sim \mbox{Poisson}≤ft{\int_S\int_{t_1}^{t_2} R(s,t)d sd t\right}.

Following Brix and Diggle (2001) and Diggle et al (2005), the intensity is decomposed multiplicatively as

R(s,t) = λ(s)μ(t)Exp{\mathcal Y(s,t)}.

In the above, the fixed spatial component, λ:R^2\mapsto R_{≥q 0}, is a known function, proportional to the population at risk at each point in space and scaled so that

\int_Wλ(s)d s=1,

whilst the fixed temporal component, μ:R_{≥q 0}\mapsto R_{≥q 0}, is also a known function with

μ(t) δ t = E[X_{W,δ t}],

for t in a small interval of time, δ t, over which the rate of the process over W can be considered constant.

Value

method temporalAtRisk

  1. Brix A, Diggle PJ (2001). Spatiotemporal Prediction for log-Gaussian Cox processes. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 63(4), 823-841.

  2. Diggle P, Rowlingson B, Su T (2005). Point Process Methodology for On-line Spatio-temporal Disease Surveillance. Environmetrics, 16(5), 423-434.

See Also

spatialAtRisk, lgcpPredict, lgcpSim, temporalAtRisk.numeric, temporalAtRisk.function, constantInTime, constantInTime.numeric, constantInTime.stppp, print.temporalAtRisk, plot.temporalAtRisk


bentaylor1/lgcp documentation built on May 12, 2019, 2:09 p.m.