In epiforecasts/EpiNow2: Estimate Real-Time Case Counts and Time-Varying Epidemiological Parameters

knitr::opts_chunk$set(
  collapse = TRUE,
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Case studies

• Estimating reporting delays and nowcasting/forecasting infections with EpiNow2 using HHS COVID-19 hospitalizations by Sam Abbott, Zachary Susswein, and Katie Gostic.
• Estimating reporting delays and nowcasting/forecasting infections with EpiNow2 by Sebastian Funk and Sam Abbott.
• Forecast Covid-19 reported deaths from Covid-19 reported cases (both observed and forecast) for a country in the ECDC by Sam Abbott.
• Explore Covid-19 data truncation in England by Sam Abbott.
• Estimate the effective reproduction number of Covid-19 in last 3 months for a country By Sam Abbott.

Public health surveillance

• CDC. 2022. “Technical Report 3: Multi-National Monkeypox Outbreak, United States, 2022.” Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. October 3, 2022. https://www.cdc.gov/poxvirus/mpox/cases-data/technical-report/report-3.html.

Literature

By package authors

• Abbott, Sam, Joel Hellewell, Robin N. Thompson, Katharine Sherratt, Hamish P. Gibbs, Nikos I. Bosse, James D. Munday, et al. 2020. “Estimating the Time-Varying Reproduction Number of SARS-CoV-2 Using National and Subnational Case Counts.” Wellcome Open Research 5 (December): 112. http://dx.doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.16006.2

• Sherratt, Katharine, Sam Abbott, Sophie R. Meakin, Joel Hellewell, James D. Munday, Nikos Bosse, Null Null, Mark Jit, and Sebastian Funk. 2021. “Exploring Surveillance Data Biases When Estimating the Reproduction Number: With Insights into Subpopulation Transmission of COVID-19 in England.” Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological Sciences 376 (1829): 20200283. http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2020.0283

• Bosse, Nikos I., Sam Abbott, Johannes Bracher, Habakuk Hain, Billy J. Quilty, Mark Jit, Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COVID-19 Working Group, Edwin van Leeuwen, Anne Cori, and Sebastian Funk. 2022. “Comparing Human and Model-Based Forecasts of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland.” PLoS Computational Biology 18 (9): e1010405. http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010405

• Davies, Nicholas G., Sam Abbott, Rosanna C. Barnard, Christopher I. Jarvis, Adam J. Kucharski, James D. Munday, Carl A. B. Pearson, et al. 2021. “Estimated Transmissibility and Impact of SARS-CoV-2 Lineage B.1.1.7 in England.” Science 372 (6538). https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abg3055.

• Meakin, Sophie, Sam Abbott, Nikos Bosse, James Munday, Hugo Gruson, Joel Hellewell, Katharine Sherratt, CMMID COVID-19 Working Group, and Sebastian Funk. 2022. “Comparative Assessment of Methods for Short-Term Forecasts of COVID-19 Hospital Admissions in England at the Local Level.” BMC Medicine 20 (1): 86. http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12916-022-02271-x

By others

• Hay, James A., Lee Kennedy-Shaffer, Sanjat Kanjilal, Niall J. Lennon, Stacey B. Gabriel, Marc Lipsitch, and Michael J. Mina. 2021. “Estimating Epidemiologic Dynamics from Cross-Sectional Viral Load Distributions.” Science 373 (6552). https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abh0635.

epiforecasts/EpiNow2 documentation built on May 13, 2024, 3:11 a.m.