roc of ensemble forecast
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| xfc | is a dataframe with the forecast, each column corresponds to one ensemble member | 
| xobs | is a dataframe with the observations, the row order must be the same as in xfc | 
| prctile_upper | is the value of the upper percentile for defining an event | 
| prctile_lower | is the value of the lower percentile defining an event | 
| thresh_upper | is optional. In case no percentiles are given, a threshold value must be given | 
| thresh_lower | is optional. In case no percentiles are given, a threshold value must be given | 
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