Description Format Details Source
Approval rating and election margin for recent presidential elections
A dataset with 12 observations on the following 5 variables.
Year | Certain election years from 1940-2012 |
Candidate | Incumbent US president |
Approval | Presidential approval rating at time of election |
Margin | Margin of victory/defeat (as a percentage) |
Result | Outcome of the election for the incumbent: Lost or Won |
Data include US Presidential elections since 1940 in which an incumbent was running for president.
The approval rating for the sitting president is compared to the margin of victory/defeat in the election.
** Updated for 2e (original is now ElectionMargin1e) **
Silver, Nate, "Approval Ratings and Re-Election Odds", fivethirtyeight.com, posted January 28, 2011 and http:\realclearpolitics.org
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