ElectionMargin2012: Election Margin 1940-2012

ElectionMargin2012R Documentation

Election Margin 1940-2012

Description

Approval rating and election margin for recent US presidential elections with an incumbent president

Format

A dataset with 12 observations on the following 5 variables.

Year Certain election years from 1940-2020
Candidate Incumbent US president
Approval Presidential approval rating at time of election
Margin Margin of victory/defeat (as a percentage)
Result Outcome of the election for the incumbent: Lost or Won

Details

Data include US Presidential elections since 1940 in which an incumbent was running for president. The approval rating for the sitting president is compared to the margin of victory/defeat in the election.

Source

Silver, Nate, "Approval Ratings and Re-Election Odds", fivethirtyeight.com, posted January 28, 2011 and http:\realclearpolitics.org


Lock5Data documentation built on Jan. 8, 2026, 9:09 a.m.