Implements various methods for eliciting a probability distribution for a single parameter from an expert or a group of experts. The expert provides a small number of probability judgements, corresponding to points on his or her cumulative distribution function. A range of parametric distributions can then be fitted and displayed, with feedback provided in the form of fitted probabilities and percentiles. For multiple experts, a weighted linear pool can be calculated. Also includes functions for eliciting beliefs about population distributions; eliciting multivariate distributions using a Gaussian copula; eliciting a Dirichlet distribution; eliciting distributions for variance parameters in a random effects meta-analysis model; survival extrapolation. R Shiny apps for most of the methods are included.
Package details |
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Author | Jeremy Oakley [aut, cre] |
Maintainer | Jeremy Oakley <j.oakley@sheffield.ac.uk> |
License | GPL-2 | GPL-3 |
Version | 1.11.0 |
URL | https://github.com/OakleyJ/SHELF |
Package repository | View on CRAN |
Installation |
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