Implements various methods for eliciting a probability distribution for a single parameter from an expert or a group of experts. The expert provides a small number of probability judgements, corresponding to points on his or her cumulative distribution function. A range of parametric distributions can then be fitted and displayed, with feedback provided in the form of fitted probabilities and percentiles. A graphical interface for the roulette elicitation method is also provided. For multiple experts, a weighted linear pool can be calculated. Also includes functions for eliciting beliefs about population distributions.
Package details 


Author  Jeremy Oakley 
Date of publication  20171031 08:37:33 UTC 
Maintainer  Jeremy Oakley <[email protected]> 
License  GPL2  GPL3 
Version  1.3.0 
URL  https://github.com/OakleyJ/SHELF 
Package repository  View on CRAN 
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