Create a Stem Model

Description

The function Stem.Model is used to create an object of class “Stem.Model”.

Usage

1
2
3

Arguments

...

List with named elements: phi, K, z, coordinates, covariates and, optionally, p (default equal to 1). See the model details and notation below.

x

an object of class Stem.Model

Details

The hierarchical spatio-temporal model is given by

z_t = X_t * β + K * y_t + e_t , e_t ~ N(0, Σ_e )

y_t = G * y_{t-1} + η_t , η_t ~ N(0,Σ_{η})

for t=1,...,n. The initialization is given by y_0 ~ N(m0,C0).
Note that z_t has dimension d by 1, where d is the number of spatial locations and y_t has dimension p by 1, where p is the dimension of the latent process. The matrix X_t is the known covariate matrix and has dimension d by r, where r is the number of covariates. Moreover, the d-dimensional square matrix Σ_e is given by σ^2_ε+σ^2_ω in the diagonal (for spatial distance h equal to 0), while the off-diagonal entries are given by σ^2_ω * C(h,θ), where C(h,θ) is the spatial covariance function. Using the default exponential spatial covariance function, it is C(h,theta)=\exp(-θ* h).
So the parameter vector φ is composed by β, σ^2_ε, σ^2_ω, θ, G, Σ_η and m0 (C0 is supposed fixed).

The elements required by the function must have the following characteristics:

phi

is a list composed by: beta (matrix r * 1), sigma2eps (scalar), sigma2omega (scalar), theta (scalar), G (matrix p * p), Sigmaeta (matrix p * p), m0 (matrix p * 1), C0 (matrix p*p). Note that these values will be used as the true parameter values in the Stem.Simulation function and as initial values for the EM algorithm in the Stem.Estimation function

.

K

loading matrix d by p.

z

observation matrix n by d.

coordinates

matrix d by 2 with UTMX-UTMY or LAT-LON coordinates.

covariates

matrix (n * d)* r. It is recommended to build the covariate matrix stacking the data by station. This means that you consider the n by r matrices related to each spatial location and stack them until you get a (n * d)* r matrix.

Value

The function returns a list which is given by:

skeleton

a list with components phi, p, K as given in the input.

data

a list with components z, coordinates, covariates, as given in the input, r, n and d.

Warning

No missing values are admitted in the observation matrix z, in the covariates matrix covariates and in the coordinates matrix.

Author(s)

Michela Cameletti michela.cameletti@unibg.it

References

Amisigo, B.A., Van De Giesen, N.C. (2005) Using a spatio-temporal dynamic state-space model with the EM algorithm to patch gaps in daily riverflow series. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 9, 209–224.

Fasso', A., Cameletti, M., Nicolis, O. (2007) Air quality monitoring using heterogeneous networks. Environmetrics 18, 245–264.

Fasso', A., Cameletti, M. (2007) A general spatio-temporal model for environmental data. Tech.rep. n.27 Graspa - The Italian Group of Environmental Statistics - http://www.graspa.org.

Fasso', A., Cameletti, M. (2009) A unified statistical approach for simulation, modelling, analysis and mapping of environmental data. Accepted for publication by Simulation: transaction of the Society for Modeling and Simulation International.

Mc Lachlan, G.J., Krishnan, T. (1997) The EM Algorithm and Extensions. Wiley, New York.

Shumway, R.H., Stoffer, D.S. (2006) Time Series Analysis and Its Applications: with R Examples. Springer, New York.

Xu, K., Wikle, C.K. (2007) Estimation of parameterized spatio-temporal dynamic models. Journal of Statistical Inference and Planning 137, 567–588.

See Also

pm10

Examples

 1
 2
 3
 4
 5
 6
 7
 8
 9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
#load the data
data(pm10)
names(pm10)

#extract the data
coordinates <- pm10$coords
covariates <- pm10$covariates
z <- pm10$z

#build the parameter list
phi <- list(beta=matrix(c(3.65,0.046,-0.904),3,1),
				sigma2eps=0.1,
				sigma2omega=0.2,
				theta=0.01,
				G=matrix(0.77,1,1),
				Sigmaeta=matrix(0.3,1,1),
				m0=as.matrix(0),
				C0=as.matrix(1))

K <-matrix(1,ncol(z),1)

mod1 <- Stem.Model(z=z,covariates=covariates,
coordinates=coordinates,phi=phi,K=K)

class(mod1)
is.Stem.Model(mod1)