us_fiscal_cond_forecasts | R Documentation |
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values, which implies that the future values of the corresponding
endogenous variables, namely government spending and GDP, will be forecasted
given the provided projected values of total tax revenue. The matrix includes
future values for the forecast horizon of two years for the US fiscal model
for the period 2024 Q3 – 2026 Q2.Conditional projections variables to be used in conditional forecasting of government spending and GDP given the provided projected values of total tax revenue. Last data update was implemented on 2024-10-22.
data(us_fiscal_cond_forecasts)
A matrix and a ts
object with time series of eight values on
3 variables:
the values are provided. This variable will not be forecasted.
not provided. This variable will be forecasted conditionally on the provided values for ttr.
not provided. This variable will be forecasted conditionally on the provided values for ttr
The series are as described by Mertens & Ravn (2014). The data was used by Lütkepohl, Shang, Uzeda, Woźniak (2024).
Lütkepohl, H., Shang, F., Uzeda, L., and Woźniak, T. (2024) Partial Identification of Heteroskedastic Structural VARs: Theory and Bayesian Inference. University of Melbourne Working Paper, 1–57, \Sexpr[results=rd]{tools:::Rd_expr_doi("10.48550/arXiv.2404.11057")}.
Mertens, K., and Ravn, M.O. (2014) A Reconciliation of SVAR and Narrative Estimates of Tax Multipliers, Journal of Monetary Economics, 68(S), S1–S19. DOI: \Sexpr[results=rd]{tools:::Rd_expr_doi("10.1016/j.jmoneco.2013.04.004")}.
data(us_fiscal_cond_forecasts) # upload the data
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