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#' @title Exponential-Logistic Growth Model
#' @aliases dExponentialLogisticGrowth rExponentialLogisticGrowth
#' @name dExponentialLogisticGrowth
#' @description Density and random generation of a exponential-logistic growth model distribution.
#' @param x vector of calendar years (in BP).
#' @param a lower (earliest) limit of the distribution (in BP).
#' @param b upper (latest) limit of the distribution (in BP).
#' @param k initial proportion of the carrying capacity (must be between 0 and 1).
#' @param r1 growth rate of the exponential phase.
#' @param mu change point (in BP).
#' @param r2 growth rate of logistic phase.
#' @param log TRUE or 1 to return log probability. FALSE or 0 to return probability.
#' @param n number of random draws. Currently only n = 1 is supported, but the argument exists for standardization of "r" functions.
#' @return For \code{dExponentialLogisticGrowth}: the probability (or likelihood) or log probability of an observed date x (in Cal BP). For \code{rExponentialLogisticGrowth} a simulated date in Cal BP.
#' @author Enrico Crema
NULL
#' @examples
#' p = list(r1=-0.001,r2=0.01,mu=5200,k=0.2)
#' modelPlot(model = dExponentialLogisticGrowth,a=6000,b=4000,params=p,alpha = 1)
#' @rdname dExponentialLogisticGrowth
#' @import nimble
#' @export
dExponentialLogisticGrowth=nimbleFunction(
run = function(x = integer(0),a=double(0),b=double(0),k=double(0), r1=double(0),r2=double(0),mu=double(0), log = integer(0)) {
returnType(double(0))
mu = round(mu)
t1 = 1:(abs(mu-a))
t2 = 1:(abs(b-mu)+1)
t1final = abs(mu-a)
t2final = abs(b-mu)+1
n1 = numeric(abs(mu-a))
n2 = numeric(abs(b-mu)+1)
for (i in 1:t1final)
{
n1[i] = k*(1+r1)^t1[i]
}
for (i in 1:t2final)
{
n2[i] = 1/(1+((1-(k*(1+r1)^abs(mu-a)))/(k*(1+r1)^abs(mu-a)))*exp(-r2*t2[i]))
}
n = c(n1,n2)
p = n/sum(n)
# This last bit would be the same for any model
logProb = dcat(a-x+1,prob=p,log=TRUE)
if(log) {
return(logProb)
} else {
return(exp(logProb))
}
})
#' @rdname dExponentialLogisticGrowth
#' @export
rExponentialLogisticGrowth=nimbleFunction(
run = function(n=integer(0),a=double(0),b=double(0),k=double(0), r1=double(0),r2=double(0),mu=double(0)) {
returnType(double(0))
mu = round(mu)
t1 = 1:(abs(mu-a))
t2 = 1:(abs(b-mu)+1)
t1final = abs(mu-a)
t2final = abs(b-mu)+1
pop1 = numeric(abs(mu-a))
pop2 = numeric(abs(b-mu)+1)
for (i in 1:t1final)
{
pop1[i] = k*(1+r1)^t1[i]
}
for (i in 1:t2final)
{
pop2[i] = 1/(1+((1-(k*(1+r1)^abs(mu-a)))/(k*(1+r1)^abs(mu-a)))*exp(-r2*t2[i]))
}
pop = c(pop1,pop2)
p = pop/sum(pop)
res=a-rcat(n=1,prob=p)+1
return(res)
})
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