Description Usage Arguments See Also Examples
Specify the characteristics of an AR model
1 2 |
coefs |
a vector of model coefficients |
mean |
the mean of the process |
intercept |
the intercept in the model |
var.pred |
the portion of the variance not explained by this model |
frequency |
the sampling frequency of the process |
x.name |
name of the series |
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 | # short decay
ar.mod <- armodel(c(0.5))
arimpulse(ar.mod, pulse=1)
# long decay
ar.mod <- armodel(c(0.8))
arimpulse(ar.mod, pulse=1)
# negative second coefficient reduce damping, signal returns to normal
# more quickly
ar.mod <- armodel(c(0.8, -0.1))
arimpulse(ar.mod, pulse=1)
# second coefficient reduce damping too much, overdamping, oscillations
ar.mod <- armodel(c(0.8, -0.5))
arimp <- arimpulse(ar.mod, pulse=1, n.ahead=40)$pred
polyroot(c(1, -ar.mod$ar)) # complex conjugate roots
acf(arimp) # period ~= 6?
phi1 <- ar.mod$ar[1]
phi2 <- ar.mod$ar[2]
f <- (1/(2*pi)) * acos((phi1*(phi2-1))/(4*phi2))
1/f # period = 6.78
sp <- spec.ar(ar.mod, plot=FALSE)
1/sp$freq[which.max(sp$spec)] # period = 6.79
# decaying oscillations
ar.mod1 <- armodel(c(0.8, -0.6, -0.5, 0.2, -0.2))
arimpulse(ar.mod1, n.ahead=100)
Mod(1/polyroot(c(1, -ar.mod1$ar))) # barely inside the unit circle
# growing oscillations
ar.mod2 <- armodel(c(0.8, -0.7, -0.5, 0.2, -0.2))
arimpulse(ar.mod2, n.ahead=100)
Mod(1/polyroot(c(1, -ar.mod2$ar))) # barely outside the unit circle
ar.mod3 <- armodel(c(1.8, -1.1, 0.2, -0.2, 0.2))
arimpulse(ar.mod3, n.ahead=100)
spec.ar(ar.mod3)
resid(arfit(rnorm(10), armodel(c(0.5, -0.1), frequency=2)))
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