true.arma.aut.wge <-function(phi=0,theta=0,lag.max=25,vara=1,plot=TRUE)
{
#
# with mean mu=10, for example, simply compute y(t)=x(t)+10
# phi is a vector of AR parameters (using signs as in ATSA text)
# theta is a vector of MA parameters (using signs as in ATSA text)
# lag.max is the maximum lag at which the autocorrelations and autocovariances will be calculated
# vara is the white noise variance
#
# NOTEs:
# (1) By default the white noise is zero mean, normal noise with variance vara=1
# (2) max(p,q+1)<=25
# (3) This function uses a call to the base R function arima.sim which uses the same sign as ATSA for the AR parameters
# but opposite signs for MA parameters. The appropriate adjustments are made here so that phi and theta should contain parameters
# using the signs as in the ATSA text.
# However: if you use arima.sim directly (which hs options not employed in this implementation) then you must remember that the signs
# needed for the MA parameters have opposites signs as those in ATSA
#
#
# Output
#
#
p=length(phi)
q=length(theta)
if(all(phi==0)) {ar=NA
p=0}
if(all(theta==0)) {ma=NA
q=0}
ip=max(p,q+1)
ipm1=ip-1
ipp1=ip+1
lag.maxp1=lag.max+1
g=rep(0,lag.maxp1)
d=rep(0,lag.maxp1)
aut1=rep(0,lag.maxp1)
spec=rep(0,251)
a=matrix(rep(0,676), ncol = 26)
papp=ip-p
#
#
#
#
#
# Calculate True Autocorrelations
#
#
PHI<-phi
while(papp>0) {zp<-rep(0,papp)
PHI<-append(phi,zp)
papp=-1
}
PHI
qapp=ip-q
qapp
THETA<-theta
while(qapp>0) {zq=rep(0,qapp)
THETA=append(theta,zq)
qapp=-1
}
THETA
#
if(ip<=1) {d1=(PHI[1]-THETA[1])*vara
dn=1-PHI[1]^2
g[1]=(vara-THETA[1]*d1-THETA[1]*vara*PHI[1])/dn
}
#
#
#
if(ip >1) {ipm1=ip-1
ipp1=ip+1
d[1]=vara
# do 10
for (i in 2:ip) {
im1=i-1
# do 20
for (j in 1:im1) {
d[i]=d[i]+PHI[j]*d[i-j]
}
d[i]=d[i]-THETA[i-1]*vara
}
# do 40
for (i in 1:ipm1) {
g[i]=0
k=ip-i
# do 40
for (j in 1:k) {
g[i]=g[i]-THETA[j+i-1]*d[j+1]
}
}
g[ip]=0
g[1]=g[1]+d[1]
# do 50
for (i in 2:ip) {
g[i]=g[i]-THETA[i-1]*d[1]
}
# do 60
for (i in 1:ip) {
a[i,i]=1
}
# do 80
for (i in 1:ipm1) {
for (j in 1:ip) {
ii=abs(i-j+1)+1
a[j,ii]=a[j,ii]-PHI[i]
}
}
# do 90
for (i in 2:ip) {
ii=abs(ip-i+1)+1
a[i,ii]=a[i,ii]-PHI[ip]
}
# do 100
for (i in 1:ip) {
ii=ip-i+1
a[1,i]=a[1,i]-PHI[ip]*PHI[ii]
}
# do 120
for(k in 2:ip) {
m=k-1
# do 120
for (i in k:ip) {
# do 130
for (j in k:ip) {
a[i,j]=a[i,j]-a[i,m]*a[m,j]/a[m,m]
}
g[i]=g[i]-a[i,m]*g[m]/a[m,m]
}
}
g[ip]=g[ip]/a[ip,ip]
# do 140
for (i in 1:ipm1) {
m=ip-i
ctc=0
# do 150
for (j in 1:i) {
k=ip-j+1
ctc=ctc+a[m,k]*g[k]
}
g[m]=(g[m]-ctc)/a[m,m]
}
}
#
#
#use difference equation to complete the list of autocorrelations
#
#
gvar=g[1]
lag.maxp1=lag.max+1
for (i in 1:lag.maxp1) {aut1[i]=g[i]/gvar}
if(p > 0) {
for (k in ipp1:lag.maxp1) {
g[k]=0
for (j in 1:p) {
g[k]=g[k]+PHI[j]*g[k-j] }
}
}
gvar=g[1]
for (i in 1:lag.maxp1) {aut1[i]=g[i]/gvar
}
#
#
#
#
# plot true autocorrelations
#
if(plot=="TRUE") {k=0:lag.max
cex.labs <- c(.9,.8,.9)
#
#numrows <- 1
#numcols <- 1
#par(mfrow=c(numrows,numcols),mar=c(3.8,2.5,1,1))
plot(k,aut1,type='h',xaxt='n',yaxt='n',cex=0.4,cex.lab=.75,cex.axis=.75,lwd=.75,xlab='',ylab='',ylim=c(-1,1))
abline(h=0)
axis(side=1,cex.axis=.8,mgp=c(3,0.15,0),tcl=-.3);
axis(side=2,las=1,cex.axis=.8,mgp=c(3,.4,0),tcl=-.3)
mtext(side=c(1,2,1),cex=cex.labs,text=c('Lag','','True Autocorrelations'),line=c(1,1.1,2.1))
}
#
out1=list(acf=aut1,acv=g)
return(out1)
}
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