pick_alphas: Pick mixing weight parameters alpha_{m}, m=1,...,M

In saviviro/gmvarkit: Estimate Gaussian and Student's t Mixture Vector Autoregressive Models

Pick mixing weight parameters \alpha_{m}, m=1,...,M

Description

pick_alphas picks the mixing weight parameters from the given parameter vector.

Usage

pick_alphas(p, M, d, params, model = c("GMVAR", "StMVAR", "G-StMVAR"))

Arguments

p	a positive integer specifying the autoregressive order of the model.
M	For GMVAR and StMVAR models: a positive integer specifying the number of mixture components. For G-StMVAR models: a size (2x1) integer vector specifying the number of GMVAR type components M1 in the first element and StMVAR type components M2 in the second element. The total number of mixture components is M=M1+M2.
d	the number of time series in the system.
params	a real valued vector specifying the parameter values. For reduced form models: Should be size ((M(pd^2+d+d(d+1)/2+2)-M1-1)x1) and have the form \theta = (\upsilon_{1}, ...,\upsilon_{M}, \alpha_{1},...,\alpha_{M-1},\nu), where \upsilon_{m} = (\phi_{m,0},\phi_{m},\sigma_{m}) \phi_{m} = (vec(A_{m,1}),...,vec(A_{m,p}) and \sigma_{m} = vech(\Omega_{m}), m=1,...,M, \nu=(\nu_{M1+1},...,\nu_{M}) M1 is the number of GMVAR type regimes. For structural model: Should have the form \theta = (\phi_{1,0},...,\phi_{M,0},\phi_{1},...,\phi_{M}, vec(W),\lambda_{2},...,\lambda_{M},\alpha_{1},...,\alpha_{M-1},\nu), where \lambda_{m}=(\lambda_{m1},...,\lambda_{md}) contains the eigenvalues of the mth mixture component. Above, \phi_{m,0} is the intercept parameter, A_{m,i} denotes the ith coefficient matrix of the mth mixture component, \Omega_{m} denotes the error term covariance matrix of the m:th mixture component, and \alpha_{m} is the mixing weight parameter. The W and \lambda_{mi} are structural parameters replacing the error term covariance matrices (see Virolainen, 2022). If M=1, \alpha_{m} and \lambda_{mi} are dropped. If parametrization=="mean", just replace each \phi_{m,0} with regimewise mean \mu_{m}. vec() is vectorization operator that stacks columns of a given matrix into a vector. vech() stacks columns of a given matrix from the principal diagonal downwards (including elements on the diagonal) into a vector. In the GMVAR model, M1=M and \nu is dropped from the parameter vector. In the StMVAR model, M1=0. In the G-StMVAR model, the first M1 regimes are GMVAR type and the rest M2 regimes are StMVAR type. In StMVAR and G-StMVAR models, the degrees of freedom parameters in \nu # should be strictly larger than two. The notation is similar to the cited literature.

Value

Returns a length M vector containing the mixing weight parameters alpha_{m}, m=1,...,M, including the non-parametrized alpha_{M}.

Warning

No argument checks!

References

• Kalliovirta L., Meitz M. and Saikkonen P. 2016. Gaussian mixture vector autoregression. Journal of Econometrics, 192, 485-498.

• Virolainen S. (forthcoming). A statistically identified structural vector autoregression with endogenously switching volatility regime. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics.

• Virolainen S. 2022. Gaussian and Student's t mixture vector autoregressive model with application to the asymmetric effects of monetary policy shocks in the Euro area. Unpublished working paper, available as arXiv:2109.13648.

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saviviro/gmvarkit documentation built on March 8, 2024, 4:15 a.m.