inst/text/fourc_uncertainties.md

In tbadams45/dtphase1: Add Phase 1 of the Decision Tree Framework To A Shiny App

unCertainties:

• What are the principal uncertainties (1) in the short term (for example, climate, demographic, economic, and political factors) and (2) in the long term (that is, after the first 10-20 years)?
• Are the uncertainties the result of lack of data or lack of observations, or are they largely irreducible?
• If the uncertainties can be reduced, how much effort and budget would be required to reduce these uncertainties?
• Can decisions on the project be delayed until more information is gathered?
• Is data collection obstructed by matters of national security or secrecy of another kind?
• How do the uncertainties interact?
• How might the various uncertainties (principal and minor) be weighted?
• Are the uncertainties fairly well understood and quantifiable, or would they be better described as “deep”?
• If trends in available data are discernible, what do the trends indicate, and how well do the historical trends match the projections?
• Do the various stakeholders agree on the relative significance of the uncertainties?
• Can a probability distribution be fitted to the uncertainties? Can they be modeled statistically?

tbadams45/dtphase1 documentation built on May 31, 2019, 3:58 a.m.