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#' Plots Frechet Expected Shortfall against confidence level
#'
#' Plots the ES of a portfolio against confidence level assuming extreme losses
#' are Frechet distributed, for specified confidence level and a given
#' holding period.
#'
#' Note that the long-right-hand tail is fitted to losses, not profits.
#'
#'
#' @param mu Location parameter for daily L/P
#' @param sigma Scale parameter for daily L/P
#' @param tail.index Tail index
#' @param n Block size from which maxima are drawn
#' @param cl Confidence level and should be a vector
#' @param hp Holding period
#'
#' @references Dowd, K. Measuring Market Risk, Wiley, 2007.
#'
#' Embrechts, P., Kluppelberg, C. and Mikosch, T., Modelling Extremal Events for
#' Insurance and Finance. Springer, Berlin, 1997, p. 324.
#'
#' Reiss, R. D. and Thomas, M. Statistical Analysis of Extreme Values from
#' Insurance, Finance, Hydrology and Other Fields, Birkhaueser, Basel, 1997,
#' 15-18.
#'
#' @author Dinesh Acharya
#' @examples
#'
#' # Plots ES against vector of cl assuming Frechet Distribution for given parameters
#' cl <- seq(0.9,0.99,0.01)
#' FrechetESPlot2DCl(3.5, 2.3, 1.6, 10, cl, 30)
#'
#' @export
FrechetESPlot2DCl <- function(mu, sigma, tail.index, n, cl, hp){
# Check that inputs have correct dimensions
if (!length(mu) == 1) {
stop("mu must be a scalar")
}
if (!length(sigma) == 1) {
stop("sigma must be a scalar")
}
if (!length(tail.index) == 1) {
stop("tail.index must be a scalar")
}
if (!is.vector(cl)) {
stop("cl must be a vector")
}
if (!length(hp) == 1) {
stop("hp must be a scalar")
}
# Change cl to row vector
cl <- t(as.matrix(cl))
# Check that parameters obey sign and value restrictions
if (sigma < 0) {
stop("Standard deviation must be non-negative")
}
if (min(tail.index) <= 0) {
stop("Tail index must be greater than 0")
}
if ( max(cl) >= 1){
stop("Confidence level(s) must be less than 1")
}
if ( min(cl) <= 0){
stop("Confidence level(s) must be greater than 0")
}
if ( min(cl) <= 0){
stop("Holding period(s) must be greater than 0")
}
# VaR estimation
VaR <- mu * matrix(1, 1, length(cl)) - (sigma / tail.index) *
(1 - ( - n * log(cl)) ^ ( - tail.index))
# ES Estimation
number.slices <- 1000 # Number of slices into which tail is divided
cl0 <- cl # Initial confidence level
term <- VaR
delta.cl <- (1 - cl) / number.slices # Increment to confidence level as each slice is taken
for (i in 1:(number.slices-1)) {
cl <- cl0 + i * delta.cl # Revised cl
term <- term + mu * matrix(1, 1, length(cl)) - (sigma / tail.index) *
(1 - ( - n * log(cl)) ^ ( - tail.index))
# NB Frechet term
}
es <- term / (number.slices - 1)
plot(cl0, es, type = "l", xlab = "Confidence level", ylab = "VaR",
main = "Frechet ES against confidence level")
text(mean(cl0),
max(es) - .1*(max(es) - min(es)),
'Input parameters')
text(mean(cl0),
max(es)-.2*(max(es)-min(es)),
paste('Location parameter for daily L/P = ', mu))
text(mean(cl0),
max(es) - .3 * (max(es) - min(es)),
paste('Scale parameter for daily L/P = ', sigma))
text(mean(cl0),
max(es) - .4 * (max(es) - min(es)),
paste('Tail index = ', tail.index))
text(mean(cl0),
max(es) - .5 * (max(es) - min(es)),
paste('Holding period = ', hp, ' days'))
}
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